The 2001 dot-com bubble was also a black swan event and was very similar to the 2008 crash. Since the Internet was relatively new at the time, it attracted massive investments. Later, these Internet companies started going out of business due to a weak business model, resulting in a major...
For example, Taleb argues that a black swan event for a deer that gets shot is not one for the hunter who shoots the animal. A disastrous day in thestock marketmay be seen as a positive event for an investor with aggressiveshort positionsbut a negative event for an investor who has heav...
Black Swan Event 的定义和含义该术语是指具有很大影响的罕见且意外的事件。该术语不仅可以广泛地应用于金融事件,还可以应用于一般事件。 例子: The 2008 Financial Crisis was a Black Swan Event.根据国家/地区的单词用法: "Black Swan Event" 世界上许多国家都使用商务英语。 本网站上的某些单词和短语在任何使用...
A black swan event is a high-impact event that is difficult to predict under normal circumstances but that in retrospect appears to have been inevitable. A black swan event is unexpected and therefore difficult to prepare for but is often rationalized wi
2. Black swan event名称由来 提出者 Nassim Nicholas Taleb 3.事件特点black-swan-event In general, a "black swan" event is one that satisfies three characteristics: First, it is unexpected. Second, it makes a big difference. Third, although it is unexpected, human nature prompts people to inve...
黑天鹅事件(英文:Black swan event)指非常难以预测,且不寻常的事件,通常会引起市场连锁负面反应甚至颠覆。黑天鹅效应的定义我直接引维基:所谓“黑天鹅”,是指极不可能发生,实际上却又发生的事件。主要具有三大特性: 这个事件是个离群值(outlier),因为它出现在一般的期望范围之外,过去的经验让人不相信其出现的可能。
COVID-19 Pandemic:A more recent example could be the emergence of the COVID-19 virus that caused a pandemic in 2020, disrupting markets and economies around the world. What Is a Black Swan Event in the Stock Market? A black swan event in the stock market is often a market crash that ...
Black swan eventSmall-sample learningCOVID-19Load forecastingThe black swan event will usually cause a great impact on the normal operation of society. The scarcity of such events leads to a lack of relevant data and challenges in dealing with related problems. Different situations also make the...
Taleb describes a black swan as an event that: is so rare that even the possibility that it might occur is unknown; has a catastrophic impact when it does occur, and is explained in hindsight as if it were actually predictable. For extremely rare events, Taleb argues that the standard tool...