“Thespecter of conflict in Asia over Taiwanis the true potential ‘black swan’ event,” Shuford says. “Beyond that, an expansion of the conflict in the Middle East also has the potential of driving consumer behavior in negative ways. “But we have a ‘bunker mentality...
That said, I am not saying it will happen the way they want, but it is important to understand what’s really going on so you can make decisions based on reality, not a fabricated narrative created to capture your attention and keep your focus on contrived events instead of what’s reall...
The realities of the high cost of coral restoration are often met with pessimism over the prospects for long-term restoration efficacy and return on investment, but the alternative—allowing coral-reef degradation to continue—would also come at a cost. At just ~0.2 m on average, the conservati...
4. Exogenous shocks.It's hard to predict the unpredictable. Think "Black Swan" events such as the fall of Lehman Bros. in 2008. Or the stock market crash in October 1987. Or the latest scare from saber rattling caused by the crisis in Ukraine. Or the bursting of a real estate bubble ...
Neither does adding the Chinese programs create a potential black swan upside. Comparing the 2030 extreme highest projections, the Chinese pipeline sensitivity analysis is only 17% higher than the baseline highest projection (US$85.5B versus US$73.0B). This increase is approximately proportional to ...
The tourism industry encounters the massive adverse consequences of the "black swan" major crisis events, including the global financial crunch in 1997 and 2008, the SARS epidemic in 2003, various social unrests, and earthquakes (Lee and Chen, 2021). The emergence of the deadliest viral disease...
Operating under a changing industry where a new innovation can be a black swan event for their business: The company operates in an industry characterized by rapid technological advancements anddisruptiveinnovations. While this presents growth opportunities, it also exposes the business to the risk of...
(a) Stimuli used in this study; (b) Timing of events in one trial. Stimuli. As previously reported51, 140 digital pictures were presented. Pictures involved a body part in pain- ful or neutral conditions without faces shown, and were taken from the first-person perspective. Pictures ...
The spatial distributions of the wave power were also evaluated on a seasonal scale using wave parameters obtained from the calibrated SWAN model. The wave climate obtained from both long-term and seasonal assessments indicates that the western Black Sea, especially the southwestern Black Sea, is ...
The SCI pathology’s significant events involve infiltration of neutrophils, the release of cytokines and chemokines leading to inflammation, followed by the death of ECs, neurons, and glial activation, glial, fibrotic scar formation, ECM remodeling, and cavitation (Kumar et al., 2020). SCI ...