El Nino conditions are set to disrupt the power sectors of various markets across Latin America, stemming from downside risks to hydropower generation. This, in turn, constitutes an upside risk to natural gas demand in Central America, the Caribbean and north-eastern South America over the near-...
The El Nino event is projected to cause sea surface temperature to peak between November this year and January 2024. Since May, an El Nino system has been building up along the equator in the eastern Pacific Ocean. El Nino heats the atmosphere in the tropical Pacific, leading to a rise in...
为量化2023年全球增暖程度并厘清2023年GMST爆发式增长现象中自然变率和全球变暖的相对贡献,大气所博士生李柯欣、郑飞研究员、朱江研究员和曾庆存院士最新发表在《大气科学进展》的文章(Li et al., 2024)中,依据大气所GMST统计集合预测模型从2023年11月起报的结果,提前2个月预测2023年GMST将达1.41 ± 0.07 °C(...
El Nino conditions are set to disrupt the power sectors of various markets across Latin America, stemming from downside risks to hydropower generation. This, in turn, constitutes an upside risk to natural gas demand in Central America, the Caribbean and north-eastern South America over the near-...
May 20, 2023, 8:13 PM GMT+8 Share this story 8 Comments8 New Homes and other structures below the remains of a landslide from 1998 during the rains from that year’s El Nino on Friday, October 9th, 2015, in Fremont, California. Photo By Lea Suzuki / The San Francisco Chronicle via...
(c) 2023年1~10月ANV和Nino3.4的散点图,不同的颜色代表Nino3.4的强度。黑线为ANV和Nino3.4的线性回归。(d) 2023年预测的全球表面温度(ST)相对于2022观测值的增量。(e)是(d)图中由自然变率(ANV和MDV)贡献的部分。(f)是(d)...
ArticleOpen access22 November 2023 Introduction The El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the dominant climate phenomenon in the tropical ocean affecting the global climate and extreme weather conditions1,2,3,4,5. Typically, El Niño and La Niña episodes develop during the boreal summer, ...
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In 2023, the development of El Niño is poised to drive a global upsurge in surface air temperatures (SAT), potentially resulting in unprecedented warming worldwide. Nevertheless, the regional patterns of SAT anomalies remain diverse, obscuring where h
et al. Increasing frequency of extreme El Nino events due to greenhouse warming. Nat. Clim. Change 4, 111–116 (2014). Article Google Scholar An, S.-I. & Choi, J. Inverse relationship between the equatorial eastern Pacific annual-cycle and ENSO amplitudes in a coupled general circulation...