The scale of the challenge facing MRM teams with respect to climate change is reminiscent of the early days of the US Federal Reserve’s Comprehensive Capital Analysis and Review (CCAR), created in the wake of the financial crisis. Specifically, given the new class of ...
Climate scenario analysis using WRF model and CCSM3 models over London (UK), Athens (Greece), Gliwice (Poland), Helsinki (Finland) and Florence (Italy) for three IPCC scenariosThe combined use of state-of-the-art mesoscale meteorological models such as WRF (Weather Research & Forecasting Model...
SoD: “Climate models are the best tools we have for estimating the future climate state. What will the world be like if we double the amount of CO2 in the atmosphere?” And climate models are the best tool to give us wrong ideas about future climate state. We know that climate models...
Fig. 6.Climate variables, components of the hillslope cryosphere and biosphere, and geomorphological processes. Whereas climate experts need to look at past climates to validate models, geomorphologists have to look at archives that can be both historical and natural in retrospective studies. To read...
and then with all Russian stations excluded. To describe the baseline conditions across the pan-Arctic domain, we randomly sampled the same number of grid cells from all ESMs, regardless of their native spatial resolution, equal to the smallest population size among all models (that is, the Can...
There are various sources of uncertainty in climate models: emission scenario uncertainty, model uncertainty, and climate internal variability8. Emission scenario (also called forcing scenario) uncertainty is related to the inability to foresee the greenhouse gas emissions in the future. It is usually ...
As understanding progresses across the different fronts, it is increasingly necessary to link together the different areas to develop effective understanding and efficient policies. In this role, integrated assessment analysis and models play a key role. Integrated assessment models (IAMs) can be defined...
The assessment relies on the DSSAT crop model simulation of maize under current climate and future projections (19 Global Climate Models and 2 Representative Concentration Pathways). The period 1980–2010 was used to represent the baseline climate, while future climate projections cover three periods;...
b Mean Canadian GDP projected from 2025 to 2095 under a high emissions climate scenario (i.e., Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5). Shown are the optimized national model (black), temperature-only model (red), and the range for all other stepped models (grey). GDP does not account ...
The remaining carbon budget represents the total amount of CO2 that can still be emitted in the future while limiting global warming to a given temperature target. Remaining carbon budget estimates range widely, however, and this uncertainty can be used