In other words, if a candidate slips in national polls, they have probably slipped in state polls by a similar amount (our nation is made up of the states, after all). Our trendline adjustment takes this into account. Every day, movement in a given state's polling average is a function...
he said he would seek to remove his name from the ballot in 10 states that his campaign considered competitive. He told voters in noncompetitive states that they could still vote for him without harming Trump's chances of winning. Since then, he has asked many ...
Of course, the election will not be held today, and it's foolish to assume the polls will nail the final results exactly. Every year, the polls are off by a few points. And usually, the polls across different states and regions all miss in roughly the same direction.* So it's likely...
the United States had gone into state-imposed lockdowns that dramatically curtailed public life in most of the country and resulted in an economic meltdown. In May the “new normal” way of American life brought about by the increasingly deadly pandemic was itself transformed by a prolonged per...
Final 2016 RCP Average: Clinton +1.9, Results: Trump +0.7 (Trump +2.6 Ahead of Polls) pollsterdatesamplemoe Biden (D) Trump (R) *spread Final Results — — — 50.0 48.8 Biden+1.2 RCP Average 10/29 - 11/2 — — 48.7 47.5 Biden+1.2 Susquehanna* 11/1 - 11/2 499 LV 4.3 48 49 ...
All Georgia Polls Iowa(6) Trump 4.7% Average of 4 Polls* Last Poll: Nov. 4 All Iowa Polls Michigan(15) Harris 1.8% Average of 23 Polls* Last Poll: Nov. 4 All Michigan Polls Minnesota(10) Harris 6.2% Average of 5 Polls* Last Poll: Nov. 4 ...
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Trump’s margins were smaller in nearly every primary state than the polls indicated, but that doesn’t mean surveys showing him leading President Joe Biden are wrong.
For Trump’s opponents, New Hampshire has long appeared to be the place in the early primary calendar that offered the best shot at knocking him off track in his bid for a third straight GOP presidential nomination. It was the only early state where polls consistently found Trump without ...
But winning over older voters doesn’t appear to be boosting Biden in the polls, which show him essentially neck-and-neck with Trump, with the Republican narrowly ahead in most swing states. Trump’s youth-voter surge? Some polls show Trump actually pulling even with — or slightly ahead of...