There have been, in technical speak, some whoppers of early poll misses. At this point (237 days until the election) in the 1980 election cycle, for instance, incumbent Democratic President Jimmy Carter was ahead of Republican Ronald Reagan by 14 percentage points. But on Elect...
The CBS News exit poll interviewed thousands of voters across the country at more than 200 polling locations on Election Day and in the weeks leading up to Election Day in order to capture those who cast a ballot early. Here are the CBS News national exit polls for the 2024 general electi...
Explore poll data from the 2016 General Election, focusing on the Trump vs. Clinton matchup. Gain valuable insights into key trends and electoral dynamics with RealClearPolling.
but wonky, reasons you can read about in the footnotes,* our new presidential general election polling averages don't need to weight polls by several factors that we previously weighted on. Instead, a poll's weight is now a function of just two factors. (While our ...
It’s not like we missed it because we’re missing voters who had turned on Trump,” he added, pointing to surveys Monmouth conducted for The Washington Post in New Hampshire and South Carolina ahead of those states’ primaries. “We would still have had them in our general election poll....
election. If there are fewer than five, the window is expanded to 30 days or five polls from the date of the most recent poll, whichever comes first. In the latter scenario, if there are multiple qualifying polls on the same calendar date as the oldest poll used, those will also be ...
RealClearPolitics Poll Average 49.7Sanders+10.439.3Trump General Election: Trump vs. Sanders Sanders+10.4 56% 54% 52% 50% 48% 46% 44% 42% 40% 38% 15 10 5 0 -5 -10 -15 October 2016 April 14D30D3M6MMAXRESETPoll DataFilter by Pollster pollsterdatesamplemoe Sanders (D) Trump (R)sprea...
Trump has reasons to be optimistic. He almost never led in any polls during the 2020 election cycle, yet he still came within a few thousand votes of pulling off a second narrow Electoral College victory. In contrast, he now leads in nearly every national poll. He al...
About 20 percent of likely Democratic voters say they would buck the party and vote for Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump in a general election, according to a new poll. The willingness of some Democrats to change sides could be a major problem for Democratic front-runner Hillary ...
Harris leads Trump among likely voters nationally: Poll A poll from Marquette University Law School of voters nationally found Vice President Kamala Harris leading former President Donald Trump among likely voters in a 2024 general election head-to-head matchup. ...