My analysis of polling from past elections reveals that there is plenty of precedent for a candidate like Biden to gain enough ground to win the election. Moreover, I find there is more uncertainty in the polls now than in previous cycles, further casting doubt on the early gloomy ...
Trump’s margins were smaller in nearly every primary state than the polls indicated, but that doesn’t mean surveys showing him leading President Joe Biden are wrong.
Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden is still leading President Donald Trump in the polls, though averages of national surveys show a trend toward a slightly tightening race. But Biden continues to hold his edge over the incumbent in a handful of crucial swing states. The sh...
Interested in the Trump-Russia saga? Read the latest on the Mueller investigation and Trump's Russia ties.
“I don’t get it,” Trumpsaidon MSNBC’s “Morning Joe” Tuesday morning. “I’m going there [to Iowa] actually today and I have tremendous crowds and I have tremendous love in the room, and you know, we seem to have hit a chord. But some of these polls coming out, I don’t...
History books will record it as the day the Biden Administration unlawfully INDICTED the ONE and ONLY candidate beating Joe Biden in the polls. It will be remembered as the day our Free Republic transformed into a Third World Marxist regime run by unelected bureaucrats. ...
President Donald Trump's approval ratings are on the upswing. Riding positive ratings on his handling of the economy, President Donald Trump is experiencing a gradual but clear increase in his job approval. RealClearPolitics finds that Trump's average approval rating in major polls is 42.3 percent...
This year, the polls are again close. But as the chart fromanalysts 538suggests, this doesn’t necessarily mean the result itself will be close: “Although Trump and Harris have roughly equal chances of winning the election, the...
Trump has reasons to be optimistic. He almost never led in any polls during the 2020 election cycle, yet he still came within a few thousand votes of pulling off a second narrow Electoral College victory. In contrast, he now leads in nearly every national poll. He al...
Trump has a record-high lead in GOP primary pollsLet’s start with the positive case for “Teflon Don.” His rosiest news comes in the form of polls of the 2024 Republican presidential primary. According to FiveThirtyEight’s national polling average of the primary, Trump has a near record...