(1976). Dominance of accuracy information and neglect of base rates in probability estimation. Acta Psychologia, 40, 287-298.Lyon, D., & Slavic, P. (1976). Dominance of accuracy information and neglect of base rates in probability estimation. Acta Psychologica, 40, 287-298....
Define Base-rate neglect. Base-rate neglect synonyms, Base-rate neglect pronunciation, Base-rate neglect translation, English dictionary definition of Base-rate neglect. n statistics the tendency, when making judgments of the probability with which an ev
Base rate neglect is a term used in psychology to explain how, when making inferences about probability, people tend to ignore...
Twitter Google Share on Facebook Thesaurus Medical Encyclopedia ThesaurusAntonymsRelated WordsSynonymsLegend: Switch tonew thesaurus Noun1.neglect of duty- (law) breach of a duty negligence,nonperformance,carelessness,neglect- failure to act with the prudence that a reasonable person would exercise under...
On the other hand, there is extensive evidence that the brain is endowed with a specialized mechanism for representing and manipulating the numerosities of sets – that is, frequencies. Hence, base-rates are neglected precisely because they are rates, whereas frequencies are indeed natural....
We tested whether a rule that neglects base rates of events in the world—something that is usually considered irrational—could be as successful as Bayesian... PM Todd,AS Goodie - MIT Press 被引量: 6发表: 2002年 Base-Rate Respect by Intuition: Approximating Rational Choices in Base-Rate ...
Effects of cue consistency on base-rate utilization In two experiments using "Bayesian" probability judgment tasks, we examined the effects of numerical values of base rates and case cues, the degree of cons... JG Lynch,C Ofir - 《Journal of Personality & Social Psychology》 被引量: 79发表...
Special terminology applies to some forms of neglect. Culpable neglect exists where a loss arises from an individual's carelessness, improvidence, or folly. Willful neglect applies to marital cases; it refers to the neglect of one spouse, historically the husband, to provide such essentials as fo...
In contrast to both views, we suggest that simplistic Bayesian updating using base rates is not necessarily rational. To that end, we present experiments in which base rate neglect is often the right strategy, and show that people's base rate usage varies systematically as a function of the ...
In Experiment 2, the salience of irrelevant cues was found to have an effect, but to be incidental to base-rate neglect, and response bias effects were minimal. The results are consistent with the hypothesis that subjects have learned that base rates change more frequently than cue accuracies...