In this paper the hindcast precipitation fields of the NCEP's second-generation climate prediction system (CFSv2) and the observed precipitation data of 182 meteorological stations in Sichuan and Chongqing from 2000 to 2009 were utilized. Sub-seasonal forecastin...
摘要:春季欧亚大陆积雪与中国夏季降水有显著的相关关系,但由于缺乏在气候预报模式中春季欧亚大陆积雪与中国夏季降水关系的研究,使得在我国夏季降水的气候预测中很少关注欧亚大陆春季积雪异常这个信号,从而影响了我国汛期降水业务预测成功率。鉴于此,本项目利用美国国家环境预测中心(NCEP)最新的气候预报系统(CFSv2)的后报资料...
利用1999 2010年共12年NCEP CFSv2(NCEP Climate Forecast System version 2)每天4个时次对未来45天预测的回报数据,检验了CFSv2模式对北半球夏季(6 8月)中高纬乌拉尔山区域(10°E70°E)和贝加尔湖-鄂霍次克海区域(110°E 180°E)阻塞高压及其与之相联系的东亚气候的预测能力.分析结果显示,CFSv2可以较好的模拟...
摘要: 作为东亚冬季风的关键系统,西伯利亚高压的变化对欧亚大陆冬季天气及气候异常产生重要影响.本文系统地评估了美国国家环境预测中心第二代气候预测系统(NCEP-CFSv2,National Center for Environment Prediction-Climate Forecast System,version 2)对冬半年(11～2月)及逐月西伯利亚高压强... 查看全部>>关键词:...
CFSv2A detailed analysis of sensitivity to the initial condition for the simulation of the Indian summer monsoon using retrospective forecast by the latest version of the Climate Forecast System version-2 (CFSv2) is carried out. This study primarily focuses on the tropical region of Indian and ...
Shin C-S, Huang B (2015) Slow and fast annual cycles of the Asian summer monsoon in the NCEP CFSv2. Clim Dyn (under review)Shin, C.; Huang, B. Slow and fast annual cycles of the Asian summer monsoon in the NCEP CFSv2. Clim. Dyn. 2016, 47, 529-553. [CrossRef]...
This paper proposes a method, which involves the interpolation of surface pressure and temperature fields obtained from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) Climate Forecast System Version 2(CFSv2)6-hourly products to derive these site-specific meteorological data. In addition...
本文利用NCEP气候预报系统第二版(Climate Forecast System version 2,CFSv2)逐月积雪覆盖率和雪水当量后报资料,分析了该模式对于欧亚大陆积雪的预测能力和可预测性。主要结论如下:CFSv2能够基本再现观测到的欧亚大陆积雪的季节循环。整体来看,模式对于积雪覆盖率的模拟能力好于雪水当量。由于积雪累积期与消融期积雪覆盖率...
Results show that the NCEP-CFSv2 model can skillfully predict the Siberian high intensity only in November, the reasons for which are that the local thermal process, dynamic process, and Siberian snow cover extent mainly affect the Siberian high intensity in November. In terms of the thermal ...
但由于缺乏在气候预报模式中春季欧亚大陆积雪与中国夏季降水关系的研究,使得在我国夏季降水的气候预测中很少关注欧亚大陆春季积雪异常这个信号,从而影响了我国汛期降水业务预测成功率.鉴于此,本项目利用美国国家环境预测中心(NCEP)最新的气候预报系统(CFSv2)的后报资料研究了欧亚大陆春季积雪异常对CFSv2中中国夏季降水预报的...