A monthly forecasting system based on 32-day coupled ocean€"atmosphere integrations has been set up at ECMWF. This system has run routinely since March 2002 every 2 weeks, and 45 cases from March 2002 to December 2003 have been verified. Results of this validation suggest that the model disp...
Tim StockdaleProceedings of a workshop held at ECMWF Eighth Workshop on Meteorological Operational Systems: 12-16 November 2001, European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2 9AX, UK
Through Canonical Correlation Analysis (CCA), experimental forecasts are being made for the United States surface temperatures at lead times of several seasons... VD Dool,M H. - 《Dynamics of Atmospheres & Oceans》 被引量: 71发表: 1994年 Probabilistic skill of statistically downscaled ECMWF S2S...
Newberry RG, Lupo AR, Jensen AD, Zalipynis RAR (2016) An analysis of the spring-to-summer transition in the West Central Plains for application to long range forecasting. Atmos Clim Sci 6:375–393. https://doi.org/10.4236/acs.2016.63031 Article Google Scholar Nie Y, Chen G, Lu J, ...
ERA5-Land data is available from 1981 to three months from real-time. More information can be found at the Copernicus Climate Data Store. ERA5-Land是一个再分析数据集,与ERA5相比,它以更高的分辨率提供了数十年来土地变量演变的一致观点。ERA5-Land是通过重放ECMWF ERA5气候再分析的...
The ECMWF forecast system tends to yield higher prediction skill than the other two systems, in terms of both correlation and mean squared skill score. However, all three systems are found to exhibit large conditional biases in the tropics, highlighted using the mean squared skill score. The ...
ERA5-Land data is available from 1981 to three months from real-time. More information can be found at theCopernicus Climate Data Store. ERA5-Land是一个再分析数据集,与ERA5相比,它以更高的分辨率提供了数十年来土地变量演变的一致观点。ERA5-Land是通过重放ECMWF ERA5气候再分析的陆地部分产生的。再...
To investigate the effectiveness of the proposed Bernoulli-Gamma-Gaussian model, numerical experiments are devised to calibrate S2S precipitation forecasts generated by the ECMWF (Vitart et al., 2017) Integrated Forecasting System (IFS). Show abstract Spring precipitation forecasting with exhaustive ...
Drought forecasting with Standardized Precipitation Index using ECMWF monthly precipitation forecastsKurnik, BNiemeyer, SEnrico, Via
ECMWF skill in forecasting regime sequences decreases from week-1 to -4 leads, except in the case of the above-mentioned regime associated with early season dry spells, translating into the potential for skillful WAM onset date predictions. Our analysis suggests that sources of predictability ...