the most prominent of the world’smonsoonsystems, which primarily affectsIndiaand its surrounding water bodies. It blows from the northeast during cooler months and reverses direction to blow from the southwest during the warmest months of theyear. This process brings large amounts of rainfall to ...
Subseasonal predictions of the regional summer rainfall over several tropical Asian ocean and land domains are examined using hindcasts by the NCEP CFSv2. Higher actual and potential forecast skill are found over oceans than over land. The forecast for Arabian Sea (AS) rainfall is most skillful, ...
Seasonal predictions of rainfall during the Indian monsoon from the North American Multi-Model Ensemble (NMME) have been used to compute the prediction skill. Observed and model-predicted rainfall have been put in three categories (namely below-normal, above-normal, and near-normal) based on the...
Influence on Southwest Monsoon: Although there’s no direct correlation, El Nino Phenomenon often coincides with weaker monsoons in India, leading to below-average rainfall. Current Status of El Nino: The 2023-24 El Nino has peaked and is weakening, impacting global climate, with sea surface tem...
Myanmar and Thailand often experience severe droughts and floods that cause irreparable damage to the socio-economy condition of both countries. In this study, the Southeastern Asian Summer Monsoon variation is found to be the main element of interannual
Solar irradiance likely influences the strength of the ENSO-EASM and ENSO-SASM teleconnections via changes in the Western Pacific Subtropical High and the amplitude of ENSO events, respectively. We suggest a need for considering solar activity in decadal ASM rainfall predictions under global warming ...
Indian summer monsoon simulations in successive generations of the NCAR Community Atmosphere Model Ravi Kumar Raju Pathak Saroj K. Mishra Theoretical and Applied Climatology(2023) Diagnosing whether the increasing horizontal resolution of regional climate model inevitably capable of adding value: investigation...
2). These findings demonstrate the stability and reliability of our reconstruction results over the period of study, and they also suggest that moisture reconstructions at different latitudes in the East Asian monsoon region are consistent in terms of the major patterns of dry and wet changes. At...
Prediction of orographic-convective rainfall during an active monsoon period is studied with an adiabatic and a diabatic vertical mode initialization schemes. A nested grid mesoscale model is used to perform two numerical simulations. In the diabatic initialization scheme, vertical distribution of latent ...
We show that the improved monsoon precipitation, in terms of not only climatological mean but also interannual features, is largely due to compensation from SST biases that originate from the biased atmospheric forcing evident in the atmosphere-only models. Analysis of surface energy budgets ...