Energy modelingEnergy scenarioThe development of scenarios to explore energy and low carbon futures has been widely applied. Although some studies combine qualitative scenarios with quantitative outcomes from modeling exercises, the two approaches have been extensively and separately used. Many energy ...
Potential for reduction of CO2 emissions and a low-carbon scenario for the Brazilian industrial sector This study discusses the potential for reducing carbon dioxide (CO) emissions from energy use by the Brazilian industrial sector in a low-carbon scenario o... MFH Jr,F Dantas,R Schaeffer - 《...
In this study,scenario analysis was made on the total and structure of 13 th FYP and mid-long term energy demand in China by using the bottom-up energy demand forecast model system. The results show that: the GDP growth rate of China in 13 th YP and 2021-2030 period is"tilt down"L...
Based on its New Policies Scenario, the International Energy Agency (IEA) estimates a rapid growth of the energy demand in sub-Saharan Africa and in rural and urban India in the next 25 years [1]. According to the U.S. Energy Information Administration, in the non-OECD regions, the ...
and apply a statistical learning framework to link scenario characteristics with foreseen PV outcomes. We show that a large portion of the uncertainty in the global scenarios is associated with general features such as the type of organization, energy model and policy assumptions, without referring to...
model in a low and a high energy demand scenario. According to the developed projections, HEG values in Turkey in 2030 will be in the range of 104.81–124.66 TWh. The present results affirm that HEG can be modeled accurately with an ANN-Jaya technique and this method was shown to be ...
Analysis of the impacts of building energy efficiency policies and technical improvements on China's future energy demand In this paper, the LEAP (Long-range Energy Alternatives Planning system) 2000 model and scenario analysis were utilised to study the impact of implementing... Y Kang,Q Wei -...
Among such measures are the recently adopted Energy Efficiency Directive, the Ecodesign Directive (EDD) and the Energy Performance of Buildings Directive (EPBD). In this paper, we aim to analyse the impact of such and additional policies using comparative scenario analysis. Different scenarios are ...
The CAPEX scenario corresponds to the highest uptake of natural gas and, thus the lowest reduction of CO2. However, the high dependence on HFO suggests that decision-makers should also potentially consider HFO-to-gas switching in the short term in addition to coal-to-gas switching in order to...
As such, energy scenario planning has become a most popular approach to project future demands and alternate supply pathways to meet the demand. However, it is essential to understand that effective energy planning does not conclude at developing a model of any specific energy system. Instead, it...