国际货币基金（IMF）今天发布2021年10月世界经济展望报告（WEO），名为「疫情大流行期间的复苏」（Recovery During a Pandemic）。IMF首席经济学家戈匹纳斯（Gita Gopinath）指出，全球持续复苏，但受到疫情大流行阻碍，动能减弱。戈匹纳斯指出，因为COVID-19（2019冠状病毒疾病）大流行造成的全球供应链关键环节中断远较预期...
— IMF (@IMFNews) October 12, 2021 The IMF projects the global economy to grow at 5.9% in 2021 and 4.9% in 2022, 0.1 percentage points lower for 2021 than the July forecast. More in the just-released October 2021 World Economic Outlook. https://t.co/j0FIiCr9li#WEO pic.twitter.com/...
The Ukraine crisis unfolds while the global economy is "on a mending path" but has not yet fully recovered from the COVID-19 pandemic, the IMF said in its latest World Economic Outlook (WEO) report, noting that global economic prospects have worsened "significantly" since the forecast in Jan...
InternationalMonetaryFund|October2024vii WORLDECONOMICOUTLOOK:POLICyPIvOT,RIsINgThREaTs Inthetablesandfigures,thefollowingconventionsapply: •Tablesandfiguresinthisreportthatlisttheirsourceas“IMFstaffcalculations”or“IMFstaffestimates”draw ondatafromtheWEOdatabase. •Whencountriesarenotlistedalphabetically,theyare...
(WEO) is a survey by the IMF staff pub- lished twice a year, in the spring and fall. The WEO is prepared by the IMF staff and has benefited from comments and suggestions by Executive Directors following their discussion of the report on October 8, 2024. The views expressed in this ...
“looking through supply disruptions” but is mostly a consequence of large external shocks, a larger share of goods in consumption baskets, and lower potential output alongside demand recoveries. Our projections for output from the WEO (5 years out) are much further below pre-pandemic trends for...
OilcontributionNon-OilcontributionRealGDPSudanContributionTotalRealGDPRealGDP(October2023WEO) Oilcontribution Non-Oilcontribution RealGDP SudanContribution TotalRealGDP RealGDP(October2023WEO) -10.1 -10.1 -9.3 2023202520232024GCC20252023202420252024202320242025 ...
2/MacroeconomicassumptionsforindividualcountriesarebasedonIMF2023OctoberWEOprojections. 3/Incomequintile1-5indicatethelowest-incomegrouptothehighest-incomegroup. 36INTERNATIONALMONETARYFUND SPAIN Figure5.Spain:NonfinancialCorporates–KeyFinancialRiskIndicators TheSpanishNFCsectoriswelldiversifiedacrosseconomicactivities. ...
而按照IMF(WEO, October 2020)的预测,2020年疫情冲击导致的G7和欧元区经济衰退基本在2024-2025年得以修复,经济基本重返潜在GDP水平,这个修复时间差不多是2008-2009年次贷危机冲击后潜在GDP缺口修复时间的一半。 从单个经济体的状况来看,图1显示了2020年美国和日本经济的产出水平缺口明显小于2009年的产出缺口水平,2020...
根据IMF的预测,2023年,全球通胀率预估值为6.5%,虽然较2022年的8.8%略为回落,但依旧高于2021年的4.7%,并明显处于警戒线之上;2023年,发达经济体和新兴市场经济体的通胀率预估值分别为4.4%和8.1%,新兴市场依旧是全球供应链失序和价格体系紊乱的重要承压者。笔者利用IMF的WEO基础数据库做了广泛研究,结果显示:2023年...