Expectations for turnout at theIowa caucuseshad been high heading into the year, following record-shattering attendance in the last competitive GOP contest. But just over 110,000 voters participated in the 2024 caucuses, falling well below the high expectations for turnout in 2024. Former Preside...
While some lawmakers believe Ocasio-Cortez already has a leg up over Connolly, many Oversight panel members stayed officially neutral. Still, they spoke positively about the leadership shifts. “There’s a little bit of a generational thing happening in the caucus,” said Rep. Shontel Brown (D...
And in Iowa only 171,517 Iowans participated in the 2016 Democratic caucuses. This was only 5.4 percent of the 3.1 million people in the state. You could assume that the number would grow somewhat in 2020, but the field would also be much more crowded. So my projection was that if I ...
Trump aggressively sought to overturn his loss in Georgia in 2020, creating self-inflicted legal turmoil for the former president and a slew of Republicans in the state who participated in those efforts. Trump’s grudges against Republican Gov. Brian Kemp and ...
The error is calculated based on the margin separating the top two finishers in the election — and not the top two candidates in the poll. For instance, if a certain poll had the 2008 Iowa Democratic caucus with Hillary Clinton at 32 percent, Barack Obama with 30 percent and John Edwards...
Michael Halle, a strategist on Buttigieg’s campaign, said about 50 of the campaign’s county precinct captains in Iowa were former Republicans who changed their party registration to become Democrats so they could participate in the caucuses and back the former mayor. Those exiled Republicans are...
In early 2007, the Obama brain trust realized it had little chance of besting Hillary Clinton in Iowa if traditional caucus-goers were the only ones who showed. So it resolved to expand the electorate by tens of thousands of more sympathetic Iowans–young people, liberals, independents. In ...
from them and the American people. Did you intend to send this to someone who doesn't know recent history?Do I dare to add once again that James Carville participated in the '04 theft? Happy New Year, Bart MaryMacMary, as far as I know, you're the only one who thinks Carville he...
Like many political axioms, though, it papers over a complex reality. Yes, evangelicals represent a large slice of the electorate, especially in states that vote early in the campaign calendar. In 2012,57% of people who participated in the Iowa presidential caucusesidentified as “born agai...