作者: Atlanta GDPnow接下来正式加入了黄金进出口数额作为统计gdp的一部分,已经仅一月的历史最高贸易逆差的60%来自于黄金进口额。
里面有详细的计算方法。另外模型的论文在这里（https://www.atlantafed.org/-/media/documents/research/...
The nowcast then plunged. On March 17, I wrote,Economy Finally Reaches “Escape Velocity,” Heads South. It featured the GDPNow model whose forecast had dropped to 0.3%, while the “Blue Chip” consensus (dated March 5 in the Atlanta Fed chart at the time) was still 2.4%. By...
预期已经降到环比年化-2.1%了。现在美国市场的情绪很诡异。这才加息到哪，美国市场就已经有人在喊加息...
"GDPNow: A Model for GDP Nowcasting", Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Working Paper 2014-7.Higgins, P. C. (2014). GDPNow: A Model for GDP "Nowcasting". Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta Working Paper Series No. 7.Higgins, P. (2014): GDPNow: A Model for GDP "Nowcasting". Working...
These pertain to advance release numbers coming out tomorrow, recalling that they will be revised two times before end-September, as new data comes in. A slight change in views since5 days ago. Figure 1:Actual advance GDP growth rate (black), Atlanta Fed GDPNow for 7/27 (red line), St...
Higgins, P., (2014). "GDPNow: A Model for GDP Nowcasting", Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Working Paper 2014-7.Higgins, P. C. (2014). GDPNow: A Model for GDP "Nowcasting". Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta Working Paper Series No. 7....
"GDPNow: A Model for GDP Nowcasting", Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Working Paper 2014-7.Higgins, P. C. (2014). GDPNow: A Model for GDP "Nowcasting". Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta Working Paper Series No. 7.Higgins, P. (2014): GDPNow: A Model for GDP "Nowcasting". Working...