This study entails the implementation of an experimental real time forecast capability for tropical cyclones over the Bay of Bengal basin of North Indian Ocean. This work is being built on the experience gained from a number of recent studies using the concept of superensemble developed at the ...
A new measure(the Track Forecast Integral Deviation;TFID) for the verification of tropical cyclone(TC) track forecasts is proposed,based on the mathematica... H Yu,G Chen,B Brown - 《Tropical Cyclone Research and Review》 被引量: 10发表: 2013年 NUMERICAL AND EXPERIMENTAL VERIFICATION OF A ...
Experimental Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale Introduction:The Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale(definitions and effects) in its current form,as a..
forecastevaluationA new measure(the Track Forecast Integral Deviation;TFID) for the verification of tropical cyclone(TC) track forecasts is proposed,based on the mathematical consideration that a "good" forecast has a small distance to the observed track not only at zero-order but also at higher...
Activities of the team include the development of new verification methods and tools for TC forecasts and the design and implementation of diagnostic verification experiments to evaluate the performance of tropical cyclone forecast models. For the NOAA Hurricane Forecast Improvement Project (HFIP), the ...
In 2007, NOAA established the 10-year Hurricane Forecast Improvement Project (HFIP) to address the need for improvement in one to five day tropical cyclone forecasts, with a focus on rapid intensity change. One component of HFIP is an annual Demonstration Project (Demo) for which real-time ...
The modeling team at LSU has demonstrated a capability to provide multiple, near real-time forecast permutations that can improve preparedness and public safety response. Coastal areas of Bangladesh and India adjacent to the Bay of Bengal are vulnerable to storm surges...
The modeling team at LSU has demonstrated a capability to provide multiple, near real-time forecast permutations that can improve preparedness and public safety response. Coastal areas of Bangladesh and India adjacent to the Bay of Bengal are vulnerable to storm surges during tropical cyclone passages...
The results suggest that the most advanced high-resolution weather forecast models such as the fvGFS warrant further improvement to properly simulate the subtle circulation features (e.g., mesoscale convection system) that might provide seeds for TCG. Significance Statement: This st...
Assimilating the retrieved vertical velocity and rainwater mixing ratio, and adjusting water vapor and cloud water mixing ratio in the initial fields simultaneously, can significantly improve the tropical cyclone rainfall forecast but has little effect on typhoon path. Joint assimilating these three kinds...