10.2 预测 | Forecasting See also: Tropical cyclone track forecasting, Tropical cyclone prediction model, and Tropical cyclone rainfall forecasting【另见:热带气旋路径预报、热带气旋预报模型、热带气旋降水预报】 此图片属于公共领域 图片题注:美国国家飓风中心的数值模式对大西洋热带风暴和飓风预报的每年平均误差:数...
5A.2 Tropical cyclone track forecasting using data assimilation of high resolution satellite derived winds (2000 - last2000_24hurricanes)A. Tropical cyclone track forecasting using data assimilation of high resolution satellite derived winds ( lasthurricanes)...
tropical cyclone trackThe JMA's Global Spectral Model (JMA/GSM) was run from the initial conditions of ECMWF, which are available in the YOTC data set, to distinguish between TC track prediction errors attributable to the initial conditions and those attributable to the NWP model. The average ...
Tropical cyclone forecasting with model-constrained 3D-Var II: Improved cyclone track forecasting using AMSU-A, QuikSCAT and cloud-drift wind data I:Description[J].Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society,2007.147-153.Tropical cyclone forecasting with model‐constrained 3D‐Var. I: ......
Tropical cyclone (TC) track predictions of the 10-km resolution WRF (provisionally named "AAMC-WRF") of the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO), spanning (20⁰S - 60⁰N, 45⁰E − 160⁰E) is studied for a 1-year period from April 2018 to Mar 2019. Real-time predictions, up to 4...
Klotzbach, P. et al. Seasonal tropical cyclone forecasting.Trop. Cyclone Res. Rev.10, 134–149 (2019). ArticleGoogle Scholar Bister, M. & Emanuel, K. Low frequency variability of tropical cyclone potential intensity. 1. Interannual to interdecadel variability.J. Geophys. Res.107, 4801 (2002...
3) ensemble forecasting of TC track 热带气旋路径集合预报4) tropical cyclone track 热带气旋路径 例句>> 5) tropical cyclone rainfall forecast 热带气旋降水预报 1. Based on any three factors,the distribution functions of the tropical cyclone rainfall were constructed to establish and operationally ...
Review of Recent Progress in Tropical Cyclone Track Forecasting and Expression of Uncertainties Julian T. Heming, Fernando Prates, Morris A. Bender, Rebecca Bowyer, ... Yi Xiao Pages 181-218 View PDF select article A summary of research advances on tropical cyclone intensity change from 2014-2018...
The beta and advection model for hurricane track forecasting. NOAA Tech. Memo. NWS NMC 70, 89 pp. (1992). Emanuel, K., DesAutels, C., Holloway, C. & Korty, R. Environmental control of tropical cyclone intensity. J. Atmos. Sci. 61, 843–858 (2004). Article ADS Google Scholar ...
In this paper a brief climatology of ET is given and the challenges associated with forecasting extratropical transition are described in terms of the forecast variables (track, intensity, surface winds, precipitation) and their impacts (flooding, bush fires, ocean response). The problems associated ...