Price outlook: BNEF’s latest forecast for the price of EU emission allowances averages €95/t across 2021-2030 – a downward revision from €104/t in the 2H 2023 Outlook. This reflects ample supply and lower emissions, with prices averaging just €65/t this year, before increasing to €...
The model results indicate that it is crucial to capture short and long term fuel switching in electricity generation and electricity demand response in order to forecast EU Allowance (EUA) prices. In addition, the impact of other policy measures is significant, e.g., support to renewable ...
StormGeo's EU ETS solution helps you manage your ETS exposure, enabling you to achieve compliance and build an efficient EUA strategy.
For now, our mid-term EUA price forecast is unchanged as it already includes speculative trading on the back of an agreement on the MSR by summer 2015. On the compliance side, we expect market participants to only gradually align their CO2 trading strategies to the new post-2019 regulatory s...
In the short term, European carbon prices are forecast to continue rising to Eur25/mt by the end of the year, up from Eur18.49/mt at the close Monday, after reforms set to kick in next year have already seen the carbon price quadruple within 18 months to reach 10-year highs, the ...
. The price of Argus VLSFO delivered on board (dob) NW Europe is forecast to rise to $611/t in the first quarter of next year, with a 40pc EU ETS cost raising this by 18pc to $724/t. In January 2025, when the EU ETS component rises t...
Price - Chart - Historical Data - News Summary Forecast Alerts Export EU Carbon Permits increased 6.75 EUR or 9.25% since the beginning of 2025, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. Historically, EU Carbon Permits reached ...
ICIS has set up a new section on our EU Carbon Portal to support the key market players in this new trading system, providing detailed insights into the UK ETS market, and the dynamics that can be expected to emerge.
This article examines the empirical relationship between the returns on carbon futures - a new class of commodity assets traded since 2005 on the European Union Emissions Trading Scheme (EU ETS) - and changes in macroeconomic conditions. By using variables which possess forecast power for equity an...
The CBAM, which would become fully operational in January 2026, will require EU importers to buy "carbon certificates" reflecting the carbon price that would have been paid for the products under the EU's carbon pricing rules, i.e. the EU Emissions Trading System (ETS). Impor...