If you find yourself in uncharted territory in your industry, you can seek expert advice through a forecasting process known as the Delphi method.
The Delphi method (/ˈdɛlfaɪ/ del-fy) is a structured communication technique or method, originally developed as a systematic, interactive forecasting method which relies on a panel of experts.[1][2][3][4] The experts answer questionnaires in two or more rounds. After each round, a...
Delphineo combines a modified Delphi forecasting method with new techniques from our co-founder Phil Tetlock’s research on how to “make conversations smarter faster.” Good Judgment has tested this hybrid approach with over 100 groups ranging from a handful to hundreds of people. In almost ever...
The Delphi method, also known as the estimate-talk-estimate technique (ETE), is a systematic and qualitative method of forecasting by collecting opinions from a group of experts through several rounds of questions. The Delphi method relies on experts who are knowledgeable about a certain topic so...
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VERIFICATION OF THE RESULTS OF THE DELPHI METHOD FOR LONG-TERM FORECASTING OF THE NATIONAL SECURITY THROUGH SOCIOLOGICAL STUDIESDelphi method is theoretically shown in a number of theoretical studies of Bulgarian scientists...
this challenge, Rawls eventually amended his proposed methodology43, arguing that ethical theory needs to ‘work from both ends’, allowing top-down principles of justice to guide patterns drawn from bottom-up judgements. This method, called reflective equilibrium, is now standard in moral philosophy...
Delphi MethodSales forecastingfuzzy clusteringfuzzy systemback propagation networkales forecasting is one of the most crucial issues addressed in business. Control and evaluation of future sales still seem concerned both researchers and policy makers and managers of companies. this research propose an ...
Business Forecasting Technology Forecasting Apply the Delphi method for studies in thousands of areas varying from health care, nanotechnology, robotics to tourism. Policy-Making Business Forecasting Business Forecasting Apply the Delphi method to public policy issues, such as economic trends, health and ...
Carman, W. H. (1999). An application of the Delphi method of forecasting to the future of technology in- frastructure in West Virginia high schools. Digital Abstracts International, 60 (06), 1839. (UMI No. 9926681). Carson, W. A., III (2005). Successful implementation of enterprise reso...