The Delphi method was developed at the beginning of the Cold War to forecast the impact of technology on warfare.[10] In 1944, General Henry H. Arnold ordered the creation of the report for the U.S. Army Air Corps on the future technological capabilities that might be used by the militar...
Healthcare and Medicine: The Delphi method is frequently used in healthcare to forecast future medical advancements. Experts collaborate to predict technological innovations such as new diagnostic tools and treatment methods, ensuring that healthcare providers are prepared for future challenges. We'll tak...
The Delphi technique has been used many times as a method of forecasting the future of established industries, but it has never been used to consider the future of a new industry. Discusses ten problems which can be encountered when Delphi is used in this situation and provides practical hints...
The Delphi method Due to the fact that cultured meat has not yet been introduced to the market, it is necessary to use forecasting methods to build a reliable foundation for exploring the future of cultured meat. To generate the aspired future scenario of the potential development of cultured ...
Delphi method is applied for this study exploring and predicting key indicators of the ethical challenges in digital healthcare. Delphi is a useful research method, particularly with advantages for forecasting and predicting the challenges and dynamics of technology applications (Gordon, 1994; Heiko, 20...
This kind of forecaster has two components: a list of existing forecasters it depends on, and a function that aggregates those forecasters. (to be named) Any forecaster which requires a pre-trained component. An example is a forecaster with a sophisticated imputation method. Evaluating these ha...
The Delphi method is characterized by, among others, the following properties [4]: anonymity of opinions and experts; multi-stage; controlled feedback; and statistical data presentation. The classic Delphi method is used in many issues, including: factors related to the quality assessment of heal...
7 The Delphi method is a structured communication technique originally developed as a systematic, interactive, forecasting method that relies on a panel of experts.8, 9 It has been widely used for research and has certain advantages over other structured forecasting approaches.10, 11 The primary ...
We used the Delphi method to survey Canadian genetic professionals about their perspectives on whether scenarios about changes in service delivery and the use of genomic testing would be broadly implemented in their jurisdiction by 2030. We conducted two survey rounds; the response rates were 32% (...
The Delphi technique can be qualitative, quantitative, or mixed-method. Here, a mixed-method approach was used, starting with open-ended qualitative questions and moving to quantitative rating scales in subsequent rounds. This method collects rich, detailed information and synthesizes it into a ...