Dicken, Paul. 2013. "Normativity, the Base-Rate Fallacy, and Some Problems for Retail Realism." Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A 44 (4): 563-570.Dicken, Paul. 2013. "ʺNormativity, the base-‐‑rate fallacy, and some problems ...
必应词典为您提供Base-rate-fallacy的释义,网络释义: 基率谬误;基本率谬误;基率缪误;
谈到基础概率谬误（Base rate fallacy），我们最好是从概率论中的著名贝叶期定理说起, 先创者是托马斯.贝叶斯（Thomas Byes 1701年-1761年)，是英国的统计学家，曾经是个牧师，这个贝叶期定理，他生前并没有发表，是他死后1763年，才由朋友发表的。贝叶期定理虽说是18世纪的产物，200年来用得好好的，...
Thebase rate fallacyoccurs when the conditional probability of some hypothesis--that is, probability of some event (A), given the occurrence of some other event (B), is assessed without sufficiently taking into account the base rate for that event. ...
The base rate is developed based on the absence of other information. The base rate fallacy describes cases where people misjudge the likelihood of an event because they do not should account for other information besides base rate. In this case, people would say that there is 90% percent ...
Worse, they don’t spare you from the base rate fallacy. You can still be misled by yourpthreshold and falsely claim there’s “only a 5% chance I’m wrong” – you just eliminate some of the false positives. A scientist is more interested in the false discovery rate: what fraction of...
The base rate fallacy is a fallacy that occurs in probabilistic reasoning when available general information is omitted from the calculations and attention is given to specific information only. To illustrate this concept, this chapter discusses the scenario in Philip K. Dick's short story "Minority...
base rate fallacy 青云英语翻译 请在下面的文本框内输入文字,然后点击开始翻译按钮进行翻译,如果您看不到结果,请重新翻译! 翻译结果1翻译结果2翻译结果3翻译结果4翻译结果5 翻译结果1复制译文编辑译文朗读译文返回顶部 基准利率的谬论 翻译结果2复制译文编辑译文朗读译文返回顶部...
基准率谬误是概率推理中出现的一种谬误,当计算中忽略了可用的一般信息(基本比率,与总体人口相关)时——无论是意外还是故意的——而只关注特定信息(例如,与样本组相关的信息)(FallacyFiles,2015)。 这个…
基础概率谬论（Base rate fallacy），这样运用和解释嘛?人们要么总是忽略事物的基础信息，要么总是忽略...