Define base rate fallacy. base rate fallacy synonyms, base rate fallacy pronunciation, base rate fallacy translation, English dictionary definition of base rate fallacy. n statistics the tendency, when making judgments of the probability with which an ev
谈到基础概率谬误(Base rate fallacy),我们最好是从概率论中的著名贝叶期定理说起, 先创者是托马斯.贝叶斯(Thomas Byes 1701年-1761年),是英国的统计学家,曾经是个牧师,这个贝叶期定理,他生前并没有发表,是他死后1763年,才由朋友发表的。贝叶期定理虽说是18世纪的产物,200年来用得好好的,...
网络基率谬误;基本率谬误;基率缪误 网络释义
base rate fallacy选择语言:从 到 翻译结果1翻译结果2 翻译结果3翻译结果4翻译结果5 翻译结果1复制译文编辑译文朗读译文返回顶部 基准利率的谬论 翻译结果2复制译文编辑译文朗读译文返回顶部 基本比率谬误 翻译结果3复制译文编辑译文朗读译文返回顶部 基准利率的谬论 翻译结果4复制译文编辑译文朗读译文返回顶部 基本利率...
如果你是这样想的话,那么,你就犯了作者丹尼尔.卡尼曼在书中《思想,快与慢》所说的错误,忽略了基准比率谬误,即没有考虑到在这个城市中“蓝绿”车的基本比例。 谈到基础概率谬误(Base rate fallacy),我们最好是从概率论中的著名贝叶期定理说起, 先创者是托马斯.贝叶斯(Thomas Byes 1701年-1761年),是英国的统计...
When Ofir (1988) made the base rate more extreme (10% versus 90%ratio of green to blue cabs), there was strong evidence that base rates were used. Itmay be that when more extreme base rates are used their relevance is elevated, and in such experiments high-relevant information may ...
Our minds prefer situational details over the statistical probabilities! In this sense, the base rate fallacy is similar to theconjunction fallacy. Learn more inProbability Definition and Fundamentals. Effects of Base Rate Fallacy This cognitive quirk can affect our judgments in various contexts, from...
基准率谬误是概率推理中出现的一种谬误,当计算中忽略了可用的一般信息(基本比率,与总体人口相关)时——无论是意外还是故意的——而只关注特定信息(例如,与样本组相关的信息)(FallacyFiles,2015)。 这个…
Define base price. base price synonyms, base price pronunciation, base price translation, English dictionary definition of base price. n. 1. the initial price of something without the additional charges that may be added, such as handling or shipping cha
This is due to the base-rate fallacy problem, because of which the factor limiting the performance of an intrusion detection system is not the ability to identify behavior correctly as intrusive, but rather its ability to suppress false alarms . A very high standard, less than 1/100,000 per...