J. 4.5 Climate, fuels, fire and decisions: The making of national monthly and seasonal wildland fire outlooksTimothy J BrownGregg GarfinTom WordellBarbara Morehouse
The size, duration, impact, and cost of wildland fire is increasing over the last several decades. A recent Interagency Council for Advancing Meteorological Services (ICAMS)-sponsored workshop focused on the scientific questions and challenges associated with subseasonal-to-seasonal ...
We identified opportunities to use climate information in fire management, including seasonal to interannual climate forecasts at all organizational levels, to improve the targeting of fuels treatments and prescribed burns, the positioning and movement of initial attack resources, and staffing and budgeting...
Predictive Services helps fire managers anticipate where the fire problems will be today, tomorrow and for the next 7-10 days, including estimates on the number of large incidents per fire episode. The units produce weekly, monthly and seasonal fire weather / fire danger outlooks, daily ...
In late September, Fire Weather Outlooks predicted higher than usual fire activity into the winter in parts of California, with concomitant elevated fire danger in the Southeastern US. To help inform the regional and national allocation of firefighting personnel and equipment, we developed ...