Why does the peso-dollar exchange rate show a depreciation trend? The role of productivity differentialsdoi:10.1016/j.econmod.2018.11.004Arnoldo López-MarmolejoDaniel Ventosa-SantaulàriaNorth-Holland
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In recent times, the exchange rates of multiple currencies such as the Japanese yen, Korean won, Indian rupee, and Indonesian rupiah against the US dollar have dropped significantly, causing market concerns about the stability of capital markets in emerging economies. What are the recent trends of...
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I have been saying for years that the dollar is going to go higher than anyone can imagine. This trade is just in the early innings. And the repercussions will be dramatic, not only for emerging markets that have financed projects in dollars, but also for commodities and energy, gold, ...
Shortly afterwards, EM currencies began to tumble. For instance, South Africa'srandhas since tumbled 3.5 percent against the dollar, the Indianhas fallen 2.2 percent and the Malaysianis down 2.35 percent. Meanwhile, theyuan, the Vietnamesedong, the Russianruble, the Mexicanpesoand the Brazilianre...
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The main factor in this relentless long-term depreciation is the loss of productivity in Mexico relative to the US. In addition, we show that the extraordinary liquidity supplied by the US during the 2008 crisis caused the Mexican peso to appreciate against the dollar....
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