In 2020, Iowa has so far denied us any clear and obvious lessons. Apart, perhaps, from the fact that it’s time for Iowa to lose its spot at the front of the line in presidential elections. Nearly 24 hours after the caucus took place and well after the final results were expected, t...
The first Democratic presidential primary of 2020 happened Monday night in Iowa. Five days later, we still don’t actually know who won. While the percentage of reporting precincts has slowly crept toward 100 percent this week, we aren’t there quite yet—but the journey has been a mess ri...
Will the Iowa Republican Primary get hacked? And by who?Will the Iowa Republican Primary get hacked And by who
Eric Swalwell announces 2020 presidential run01:40 Since he was sworn-in in 2013, Swalwell has won reelection three times. Although he has been a rank-and-file member of the House Democratic caucus during his congressional tenure, he has raised his profile during the Trump administration as a...
Iowa votes on Feb. 3, so the field could shift once again; after all, Buttigieg’s lead in both states is very small. It would be a little unusual, too, if he or someone else wonbothIowa and New Hampshire. Only twice in the past seven Democratic presidential contests has the same ...
So in predicting the bounce that each candidate will receive, our model will essentially make a compromise. Bounces are projected based both on the share of the vote each candidate gets, and a binary variable indicating whether he or she won the state. For the vote share part of the calcula...
In 2020, Smith also won the Republican primary but lost in the general election to Democratic Rep. G.K. Butterfield. After her defeat, shetweeted, "I ran for congress. Did better than anyone ever did in this district on the Republican side. Dominion was used in my district. My polling ...
She hails from the donor- and delegate-rich state of California, which moved its primary up to March 3, 2020. Cons: Her previous record on criminal justice reform – when she argued against the release of nonviolent offenders – could rankle some on the left. Some former staffers have ...
NEW YORK (AP) — Four months after a civil trial jury found that Donald Trump sexually abused and defamed advice columnist E. Jean Carroll, a federal judge ruled on Wednesday that still more of the ex-president’s comments about her were...
And it won him the day. Sure, you can parse the realness of it all: it wasn’t. But are the low-information voters who will decide the election doing that? And how real can any high-security campaign stop be in an age in which one of the contenders has been the target of two...