Polls are first weighted according to an exponential decay function, so that a poll released today is weighted fully, while a poll released 30 days ago is not weighted at all. Polls with larger sample sizes are also weighted more than those with smaller sample sizes. If a pollster has relea...
The moving average is the weighted mean of these polls. When a pollster releases the same poll with multiple sample types, we prefer the ‘likely voter’ version of the poll first, then the ‘registered voters’ poll, then finally the ‘all adults’ poll. We also add a ‘dummy poll’ ...
against Simon Clarke, I think, just the sort of the viciousness of his language warning of a massacre of “extinction”, the way in which, you know, his intervention was presented for maximum impact I think has focused minds in some way. What do you think of the flashpoints ahead?
a larger share — it will fold out. Both could suggest an imbalance in the campaign's support. The question is whether candidates can make up ground with groups that are under-represented in their base or if they can use an over-represented group to make a wider case for their candidacy...
Sanford admitted during their discussion that while he did get some “sympathy votes” after the bombing, he had actually already pulled ahead in the internal polling numbers and didn’t need the bump. Who was the target of the church bombing on The Irrational? Yet, Marisa still wasn’t ...
"When I ran for president four years ago, I said we are in a battle for the soul of America — and we still are," the president said in thethree-minute-long video. "The question we are facing is whether in the years ahead we have more freedom or less freedom, more r...
Yep. It’s a nightmare come true. 30 days of over-the-top brain smashing, blood-gushing nasty goodness. To sweeten the deal Cinefamily is offering prizes to the fans who sit through the most movies: 3Rd Place: the 3-dvd all-region UK box setVideo Nasties: The Definitive Guide ...
The race for the White House is heating up as both President Biden and former President Trump have nearly clinched their parties’ nominations. Trump became the first candidate to jump into the contest when he announced in November 2022 that he would see
Embark NYC provides details on train delays, accidents, and has scheduled updates to ensure you can stay ahead of the masses. The app also features an easy-to-read subway map so that you know where you’re headed next. Devices: Android, iPhone, iPad, iPod Citymapper Citymapper is perfect ...
Welcome to The Religious Studies Project 2020 October edition of Discourse!, which is our critical take on the category of religion in current events. I’m your host today—I’m Andie Alexander. I’m based in Atlanta, Georgia at Emory University, where I am currently working on my ...