Not only have polls and prediction markets tilted recently toward Donald Trump winning the presidential election, they are also pointing to Republicans flipping the Senate and retaining control of the House. A GOP sweep would give Trump a freer hand to enact his ag...
A voter posts their ballot paper into a ballot box after casting their vote at a polling station at Drumcondra National School. Photograph: Paul Faith/AFP via Getty Images. Fri Jun 07 2024 - 16:35As voters go to the polls, Hugh Linehan, Pat Leahy, and Jac...
Polling indicates the CDU/CSU are best placed to form a coalition, requiring only one additional party to reach a majority — either the Greens or the SPD. Latest polls The Financial Times poll tracker uses all surveys conducted within the past 30 days, weighted so that pollsters who conduct...
The Blind Leading the Blind: Who Gets Polling Information and Does it Improve Decisions?We analyze whether and when polls help citizens to improve their decisions. Specifically, we use experiments to investigate 1) whether and when citizens are willing to obtain polls and 2) whether and when ...
Some Democrats are still considering whether to run for president, some made it official and some never even entered the fray. But the 2020 parlor game is well underway. Here's the U.S. News analysis of the initial field, separated into three tiers, based on public polling data and eval...
There are more polls than ever. The number of active public pollsters has more than doubled since 2000, according to Pew Research Center. Pair that with the emergence of rival polling averages, and it can be hard to even know what the polls are saying. Lastly, “pollsters offe...
Polling industry error, or non-sampling error, represents the risk that all the polls are systematically biassed in one direction or the other, as they have been in previous elections. Sources of polling industry error include using skewed samples, voters being undecided until election day, or ...
She said she would bring in a fresh perspective, using that to talk about the Republicans who are supporting her candidacy because of their disapproval of Trump. “Let me be very clear, my presidency will not be a continuation of Joe Biden's presidency,” Harris said. “I, for e...
Kamala Harris leads Donald Trump in national polls, but the race remains tight in critical swing states as the 2024 US presidential election approaches.
POLITICO's polling partner, Morning Consult,surveysmore than 5,000 registered voters across the United States every day. This poll represents one week's worth of responses from voters who intend to vote in the Democratic primary. For each poll, Morning Consult asks those voters to tell us thei...