Our real-world example is the forecasting of US presidential elections. First, we ask whether a model should be changed. To illustrate problems and opportunities, we examine the forecasting history of different models, in particular our own, which has tried to foresee presidential selection since ...
Some show up ready, but many do not at this critical time when young brains are developing rapidly.出自-2016年6月阅读原文 Some of them begin to decline when people are still young.出自-2016年6月阅读原文 Real friendship is when two individuals share the same soul.出自-2016年6月阅读原文 Pat...
The second section of this post, “Unapologetic TDS,” is venting, pure and simple. If you’re tired of hearing what’s wrong with Trump, I sort of understand. Trump Derangement Syndrome is that first case of presidential derangement I’ve ever had. And though I’m not ashamed to complet...
I suspect some patterns will emerge and I hope that they will help us make begin to make sense of the ‘inner morality’ of elections and campaigns. Finally, I should note that I am not interested in making judgments about the morality of any particular action, here. One can find a ...
Generally speaking, potential Presidential candidates will wait until the midterm elections have passed before announcing their intentions, as people are usually pretty distracted by the midterms. - The incumbent can file for re-election whenever they choose. ...
Hawaii wasn’t a determinative state in the 1960 presidential election between President John F. Kennedy and future President Richard Nixon. Kennedy was going to win the White House, regardless of Hawaii. There were allegations of vote fraud elsewhere, notably Illinois and Texas. Initial results fr...
The U.S. Congress convenes its annual session on January 3 each year unless provisions are made to begin on a different day. Annual congressional sessions usually last most of the year, adjourning in December. There is no actual set date for the adjournm
Presidential electionsCandidatesAbramson (2008) shows that the candidate of the median voter in the French two-round presidential election in 2007 was Franois Bayrou, but that he did not win the election — for the simple reason that he was eliminated at the first round of the balloting and ...
On July 15, 1948, several weeks after the Republican-controlled Congress had adjourned for the year leaving much business unfinished, Truman took the unprecedented step of using his presidential nomination acceptance speech to call both houses back into session. He delivered that speech under particula...
There are times when I wonder why I do this job. 有时候我也不明白自己为什么要干这个工作。 牛津词典 The last time I went to Scotland was in May, when the weather was beautiful. 我上次去苏格兰是在五月份,那时的天气好极了。 牛津词典 Until when can you stay? 你可以待到什么时候? 牛津词典...