China’s recent post-COVID-19 reopening is driving a consumer rebound, supporting regional and global growth. We expect China’s economy to grow 5.8 per cent in 2023, up from 3.0 per cent in 2022. Household consumption is likely to contribute 4-4.5ppt to this year’s GDP growth, up fro...
Nowcasts seem to perform better in predicting UK inflation during this period. This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access. Similar content being viewed by others Benchmarking econometric and machine learning methodologies in nowcasting GDP Article 04 ...
However, robustness checks identified how the impact of carbon price on CO2 and other variables of the model is still weak. This work sheds light on the EU ETS's influence on a set of multidimensional variables. Still, overlapping national policies appear to interfere with the EU ETS ...
The third quarter looks pretty good too: The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow estimate for Q3 real GDP growth is currently 3.2%, of which consumer spending contributes 2.2 percentage points, and nonresidential fixed investment contributes 0.9 percentage points. In term...
Forecasters are often wrong, of course. US growth in 2023 was better than expected. The strength of the labour market has been a constant surprise in many parts of the world. Despite slow growth, UK unemployment is still just 4.2 per cent, while in the US it is even lower at 3.7 per...
The parliament of New Zealand has tasked the government with getting the national debt down to 20% of GDP by 2020. If that goal is framed in terms of net debt, then that aim has already been achieved. In terms of gross public debt, the government still has a little way to go. ...
Whilst impressive, the real barometer – GDP – is more modest. Because the new BRICS members are considered to be developing economies, their addition to the bloc will not have a major impact on its overall share of GDP. However, there’s a powerful advantage to global trade with...
UK GDP rose in August As expected, UK real GDP (Gross Domestic Product) grew by 0.2% in August, returning to growth after two consecutive months of stagnation. The Chancellor of the Exchequer, Rachel Reeves, welcomed thisnewsas she prepares to deliver her first UK Annual Budget Release...
Retired GDP/Clinical Teacher, Bexhill-on-Sea, East Sussex, UK Paul Hellyer Rights and permissions Reprints and permissions About this article Cite this article Hellyer, P. WhatsApp - what's up?. Br Dent J 233, 561 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41415-022-5087-8 Download citation Pub...
We illustrate our framework with an analysis of donors to the UK Conservative Party from the property services and construction industries. While actors make it almost impossible to place particular events in our framework, in the aggregate the framework is empirically tractable. We triangulate a ...