In that post, we remarked that whenever one receives a new piece of information , the prior odds between an alternative hypothesis and a null hypothesis is updated to a posterior odds , which can be computed via Bayes’ theorem by the formula where is the likelihood of this information ...
(That’s why I originally wrote this post back in 2013, before the AI chatbots took over.) The Terra Nova Starlite 2 is currently my go-to tent for poor weather and high winds due to its excellent stability and weatherproofing. On the downside, it’s a faff to set up compared to ...
is one of the greatest challenges we have on our hands, as well as the greatest opportunity. Communicating with clarity on these issues is vital. I know no one wants to spend any time on anything these days, but this is three and a half hours that...
There is more happening around this time in our historical narrative, but this gives you the idea that 1666 was a very important year for the Controllers in our current timeline.So, now I am going to continue on with taking a tour around the Bronx from the photos that DM sent me.She ...
In countries within the high HDI category, poor governance and strategic planning were described as inducing waste of resources, like in Armenia:“there is an overcapacity of beds and staff in psychiatric hospitals, leading to the unnecessary admission of chronic patients who would be more appropriat...
Editor’s Note: Both UPS and FedEx charge for what is called “dimensional weight”. Basically what this means is that if your package is large or oversized, then the shipping rate will be drastically increased. The dimensional weight calculation for UPS is currently L*W*H/139 and remains...
In countries within the high HDI category, poor governance and strategic planning were described as inducing waste of resources, like in Armenia:“there is an overcapacity of beds and staff in psychiatric hospitals, leading to the unnecessary admission of chronic patients who would be more appropriat...
however, Armenia will most definitely not be one of these. The Pashas remain in power, and the Armenian Genocide proceeds apace in TTL 1920 (it is, unfortunately, rapidly approaching a successful conclusion). Aside from those who've fled to the United States or elsewhere, ...
Your life is organized like an orbit. I know. 了解了这点,就知道为何四年于相隔千里的我们,似乎只是弹指一挥间而已。 我其实了解小女儿的心理,是希望多一点surprise多一点romantic多一点傻里吧唧的指天划地的。可惜我这方面的才能似乎多用在0,1组成的无机世界里了,于是只能委屈她了。大多数的时间,她就一...
is giving a specific account of what we will call “radical contemporaneity.” This means that they have not only been working with crucial political questions, but also that they have continued to address them as they are happening, always taking risks to analyze traumatic presents. They have ...