Here we introduce GenCast, a probabilistic weather model with greater skill and speed than the top operational medium-range weather forecast in the world, ENS, the ensemble forecast of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts4. GenCast is an ML weather prediction method, trained on...
prediction; however, it also has the largest intensity errors. Synoptic-scale predictions Fig. 1: The regional domain for evaluating the five MLWP models includes the best tracks of the 11 typhoons that occurred during June to November 2023....
While Bjerknes and his Bergen colleagues refined the cyclone model, other Scandinavian meteorologists provided much of the theoretical basis for modern weather prediction. Foremost among them wereVilhelm Bjerknes, Jacob’s father, andCarl-Gustaf Rossby. Their ideas helped make it possible to understand ...
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April 17, 2024 Storm Totals: April 13th-14th, 2024 - posted 12:53 AM A cold low pressure system from the Gulf of Alaska swept down the state over the weekend, bringing gusty winds and showers to the region. For Southern California, the storm was comprised of two ... April 6, 2024...
Weather forecasting is important for science and society. At present, the most accurate forecast system is the numerical weather prediction (NWP) method, which represents atmospheric states as discretized grids and numerically solves partial differential equations that describe the transition between those ...
On January 9th, the Climate Prediction Center declared La Nina conditions present and expected to persist through February - April 2025 (59% chance) with a transition to ENSO-neutral likely during March - May 2025 (60% chance). During hurricane season, an El Nino typically means fewer hurrican...
36 in. 64° on Sep 9, 2024 -42° on Jan 7, 2025 Average Monthly Soil Temperatures at a depth of 4 in Month All Time Avgs. January 36.7°F February 35.5°F March 37.6°F April 37.7°F May 56.2°F June 60.5°F July 68.4°F August 66.6°F September 63.8°F October...
For over 200 years, the Farmers’ Almanac has been predicting long-range weather forecasts to help you plan ahead. These forecasts are created using a tried-and-true formula that adapts to the mysteries of nature and the ever-changing world in which we live. The basis of our prediction meth...
weather forecasts rely on the spatiotemporal marginals of the forecast distributions, that is, the weather forecast for a given place and time. We evaluate the per-grid-cell marginals of GenCast and ENS in terms of overall forecast skill, calibration and performance on extreme weather prediction....