Some more thoughts on the FOX News poll showing former Democratic governor Terry McAuliffe up by 5 points over Republican challenger Glenn Youngkin just three (and now two) weeks out from the November 2nd election. One of the numbers in the poll? McAuliffe’s support among black voters at ...
Virginia Voters Still Looking for Substance in McAuliffe; Poll Numbers with Cuccinelli Tighten
In the context of the Virginia gubernatorial election, this poll should make Democrats cautiously optimistic. McAuliffe is winning, has some room for growth, and Youngkin has shown exploitable vulnerability. To be clear, I am not telling younotto wet the bed. There is a lot of work to do....
With variables like the age of the candidates, Trump’s legal battles, the close poll numbers and the list of third-party candidates, Sabato says it is too early to start his official predictions on who will take the 2024 election. “We’re looking at it day-by-da...
For example, the Monmouth University poll found that Youngkin's supporters are more excited than McAuliffe's to vote in the upcoming election by nearly 23 percentage points. "The promise of the Biden presidency—knowledge, competence, and stability in tough times—have all been called into que...
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McAuliffe, elected Virginia governor in 2013, was unable to excite voters amid significant headwinds facing Democrats, including Biden’s drooping poll numbers, the congressional stalemate over the president’s economic agenda and the persistence of the pandemic. ...
Of course, voters can still cast a ballot regardless of how enthusiastic they are, but these findings do align with the expectation that we’ll see some degree of “differential turnout” in the election, or where voters from the party not in the White House are more likely to show up ...
Clinton allies are hoping she can keep her poll numbers, which are always stronger when she’s viewed as stepping away from politics, relatively high as she decides over the next year whether to run. Most people close to her believe she will and are eager to see her steer clear of politi...
Early vote numbers inspired Republican confidence in Nevada in 2022 — a year in which the GOP did win the governor’s mansion, but came up short in the Senate race. If November’s electorate ends up resembling that of two years ago, it will be another very clos...