Figure 1:GDP (bold black), April WSJ survey (light blue), GDPNow (4/15) (red square), NY Fed (light green square), St. Louis Fed (blue inverted triangle), IMF April 2024 WEO (chartreuse triangles), all in bn.Ch.2017$ SAAR. Source BEA via FRED, Philadelphia Fed, Atlanta Fed, N...
the yield curve can sometimes become flat or inverted. The left graph selects three different time periods to show the three different yield curve shapes: April 2021 shows the normal upward sloping yield curve, May 2007 shows a flat yield curve, and August 2000 shows an inverted yield curve....
GDP (total) $26.9T - 2nd in the world GDP (per capita) $76,399 - 8th in the world Human Development Index (HDI) 0.922 - 21st in the world (Sources: holidu.co.uk, reliefweb.int, insidermonkey.com, realestate.usnews.com, businessinsider.com) Whether you settle in a laid-back sunsh...
Since 1971 total US debt has gone up 53X with GDP only up 22X as the graph below shows: As the widening Gap between Debt and GDP in the graph above shows, it now takes ever more debt to achieve increases in GDP. So without printing worthless money, REAL GDP would show a decline. ...
Chart below shows Primary Energy consumption vs Real GDP for World from 1970 to 2019. Hickory 11/10/2020 at 11:00 am Surely the correlation is tight. My point was that population would not have traveled the path from 1 billion to 8 billion without the plentiful primary energy. Will lack...
Despite strong GDP, another down day http://marketplace.publicradio.org/shows/2007/07/27/PM200707271.html Nothing macro-economic changed between 4 yesterday afternoon in New York and 8:30 this morning in Washington. But the two numbers that were posted at those hours, they give you some...
“Mario Draghi just announced more stimulus could come, which immediately dropped the Euro against the Dollar, making it unfairly easier for them to compete against the USA. They have been getting away with this for years, along with China and others,” the president wrote in a tweet. ...
Only reason China can import all the oil they do is because they use US dollars. My guess is their imports of oil would drop by 2/3 if the try to leave the dollar system. But they really want to leave it. They just can’t. This is something to watch if your watching the oil ...
China's population will shrink to about 750 million from 1.2 billion in the next 25 years. It's not only India's population, it's the per-capita GDP/income that the growing population will have access to. Plus, Indian culture incorporates gold ownership as does China's. A stronger, ...
A quick look at the “Historical Treasury Yield Spread (10Y-1Y)” graph suggests that historically, an economic recession generally follows once the yield spread drops below 0% (the red Y-axis). This is especially true for recessions during the late 1900s. The yield spread reached an all-...