Leading indicators signal continued improvement in US real estate markets, and recovery has begun. Interest rates are volatile, but as of early November 2024, rates across the yield curve remain below their Spring 2024 highs. As comp...
An inverted yield curve occurs when yields on short-term bonds rise above the yields on longer-term bonds of the same credit quality, which has proven to be a relatively reliable indicator of an economic recession. The inverted yield curve can be observed when the yield spread between long-te...
Fixed-income experts suggest staying on the short end of the yield curve for safety and income. Tony DongFeb. 11, 2025 7 Best Treasury ETFs to Buy Now Investments that focus on environmental solutions could be excellent long-term opportunities for patient bargain hunters. Matt WhittakerFeb. 7,...
Real Estate 99.43% Technology 0.02% Utilities 0% Updated 05/31/24 Geographic Breakdown 1.1% Africa 15.5% Asia Developed 11.7% Asia Emerging 12.4% Australasia 2.3% Canada 0.8% Europe Emerging 6.1% Europe Ex Euro 11.9% Eurozone 23.2% Japan 2.2% Latin America 5.9% Middle East 7.0% United...
For another perspective on the yield curve, the 10-3mo spread below uses an even shorter-term maturity. The lead time to recessions based on this spread (after it turns negative) ranges from 34 to 69 weeks. Like the 10-2 spread, we see the same false positive in 1998, as well as ...
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In other words, a financial uncertainty shock causes a temporary steepening of the yield curve. This result is consistent, among other interpretations, with medium‐term expectations of a recovery in real activity after a financial uncertainty shock....
“We have shifted portfolios to a modest underweight in duration, but we may continue to reduce,” the report noted. “This is because 1) we hold a view that the yield curve may continue to steepen and 2) pro-growth fiscal policy is unfolding alongside tariffs, tilting the scales towards...
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