A recent Emerson College poll found that about 19% of US voters had used crypto, and most had a favorable opinion of President-elect Donald Trump. Markets News Why is the crypto market up today? The crypto market is up today as investors view spot ETF inflows and the possibility of a st...
We conclude that the Swift Boat ad campaign in 2004 was an enlightening event which moved poll ratings in favor of President Bush, towards the level the IEM market had predicted already before the Swift Boat event. The financial crisis in 2008, on the other hand, was an enlightened event. ...
In doing so, they mirror the very danger of which President Obama in his final public speech cautioned against “retreat into our own social media feeds” as rendering Americans uncritical information consumers [who] start accepting information, whether its true or not, that fits our opinions, i...
Stock-market investors will be glued to their computer screens Monday, searching for omens that might signal whether Donald Trump will remain president or cede the office to Joe Biden.
Others say that the equities market is more candidate-agnostic than many believe. The decision by President Joe Biden to drop his re-election bid and throw his support behind Vice President Kamala Harris added a new, if not completely unexpected, wrinkle to the outlook for financial markets. ...
‘Should former Vice President Biden win, there is an expectation that governance would be more conventional with less relief on tax and possibly stiffer regulation, although areas like immigration and trade could see a gradual unwinding of the tensions currently prevalent. A Biden elect is expected...
Online election betting platform Polymarket plans to bring its prediction markets back to customers in the United States, on the heels of accurately forecasting the electoral win of President-elect Donald Trump. "I want to give a lot of credit to the people who fought the battle to go and le...
They don’t want Trump to be president for very important reasons for which you hardly are told, if told at all. Trump will be a chaos, an upheaval as president, but a few important things Trump is not. He’s no neo-liberal or neocon. They are terrified that he’ll end “their”...
Trump President, Senate Republican, House still uncertain Markets start pricing Trump victory Staying focused on Election Day Election uncertainty is no reason to exit the market An evenly divided electorate A civil debate Down to the wire
As Vice President-elect, J.D. Vance is the early favorite to win the 2028 U.S. presidential election. As we go to press, Vance is priced at around +250 depending on which online sportsbook or prediction market you shop at. That’s an implied 25% chance of President Vance, compared to...