What is making investors very uncomfortable is how risk asset markets have behaved since the shock US election results (see Figure 1). US equities surged which could be as simple as investors now knowing that President Trump is in the position to make “America great again”. However, yields...
Did Election Polls Get it Wrong Again? Pollsters always said it would be close, and that either candidate could win every swing state. That’s exactly what happened. Whit AyresNov. 8, 2024 More Hopeful Consumers on Election Eve The University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment survey showed op...
Explore the latest on the US 2024 election Get timely analysis and in-depth insights with EIU’s 2024 presidential election coverage. Learn more about the latest developments including US presidential election polls, news and results and impact on US and global economies. ...
Trump asks Georgia court to toss criminal election case, cites White House win Thu, Dec 5th 2024 Politics French government toppled in no-confidence vote brought by opposition Wed, Dec 4th 2024 Space Trump nominates Jared Isaacman, private astronaut and Shift4 CEO, for NASA chief Wed, Dec 4t...
that it might. During its 2004 presidential election, polls showed then-President Chen Shui-bian trailing his opponent, Nationalist Party (Kuomintang) candidate Lien Chan. But this changed abruptly the day before the vote, when Chen and Vice President Annette Lu were shot during an election rally...
Polls become more informative about the result as election day nears - the difference between how a party is polling and its actual vote falls by about two points on average over the final 100 days.
both before and on election day, and the preliminary results are subject to change through the course of the night as more people are surveyed. national exit-poll results provide an important window into the thinking of the nation, but may not directly align with the seven battlegr...
“The potential for a disputed election result reflects deepening political polarization, which could affect the next administration’s policymaking scope and how it approaches public policy decision making on key issues,” Fitch said. 12:21 a.m. 15:37:22, October 14, 2020 ...
Joe Biden’s selfish parting act In pardoning his son, the president has ensured that the distance between himself and Trump is now shrouded in fog Hedge funds Hedge funds profit from ‘Trump trades’ around US election Element Capital and Graham Capital among macro managers that did well out...
In 2020, as in 2016, US presidential candidates may dismiss some election polls as fake while lauding others as trustworthy. But don't just take their word for it! Ole J. Forsberg offers information and advice to help voters decide which polls and polling houses to trust In 2020, as in...