There really are two stories to tell. The first is the short term problem of depressed tax revenue brought on by the Great Recession – not runaway spending. The second is the longer term problem of spending increases along with unfunded tax cuts. A look at the following graph shows this ...
US Year-Ahead Inflation Expectations at 1981-Highs US Annual Core PPI Inflation Unexpectedly Dips US Producer Prices Post Surprise 0.4% Drop US Core PPI Unexpectedly Declines Dollar Slides to Three-Year Low US Government Budget Gap Narrows in March ...
The US Treasury yield curve is a visual representation that displays the interest rates of US government bonds based on thelength of time until they mature. By plotting the yields against different maturities, the graph allows individuals to understand the amount of interest the government must pay...
There is a further issue which has become acute since the US Government’s borrowing costs have soared, and that is debt interest which is paid to into the financial system and excluded from GDP. For this reason, using deficits as a proportion of GDP in the calculation is an error. Timing...
The yield required by investors to loan funds to governments reflects inflation expectations and the likelihood that the debt will be repaid.Actual Previous Highest Lowest Dates Unit Frequency 4.37 4.33 15.82 0.32 1912 - 2025 percent Daily
the near-term in our opinion. As the following graph suggests, current interest expense to tax receipts is less than half of what we saw during the strong economic growth years in the 1980s and early 1990s. This environment formed despite the recent increase in debt outstanding discussed above...
reaching 228% of GDP in 2023. Including government debt, China’s debt-to-GDP ratio escalates to 307%, significantly higher than the U.S.'s 253% and the G20 average of 248%. In summary, China's continual investment, despite the likelihood of negative returns and escalating debt, is un...
FILE PHOTO: Miniatures of oil barrels and a rising stock graph are seen in this illustration taken January 15, 2024. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/ File Photo By Scott DiSavino NEW YORK (Reuters) - Oil prices fell about 2% to a two-month low on Tuesday...
And the end of the biggest asset and debt bubble in history had to end with an unexpected event. The bottom part of the graph above shows US tax revenue. It was $0.6T in 1981. Currently it is $3.4T. With the present situation in the US, it is likely that tax revenue will ...
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