Overall, gold should be structurally well-supported under a Trump administration. The key downside risk to this scenario is that tariffs and government spending could see a resurgence in inflation and prompt the Fed to raise rates, which will in turn put downward pressure on gold prices. Democrat...
US government bond yield curve flattening againKaren Brettel
Treasury market, the largest government bond market in the world, is back to levels seen before the Federal Reserve started hiking interest rates in 2022, according to a New York Fed report. Liquidity - or the ability to trade an asset without significantly moving its pric...
Two-year U.S. government bond yields rose further above 10-year yields, a deepening of the yield-curve inversion, a widely recognized signal of coming recession. Investors are worried that the trade conflict between the United States and China could tip the world into an economic slowdown. ...
Bond traders consider a10-year rate below the 2-year yieldan notable recession signal, marking an unusual phenomenon as bondholders receive better compensation in the short term. Before August, the last inversion of this part of the yield curve began in December 2005, two years before the ...
“At PIMCO, we are already making incremental adjustments in response to rising U.S. deficits,” they added. “Specifically, we’re less inclined to lend to the U.S. government at the long end of the yield curve, favoring opportunities elsewhere.” ...
This can be done by diversifying across other asset classes (e.g., commodities, equities, or even cryptocurrencies) or, as our results show, across other government securities. In our case, a US Treasure investor could benefit by hedging with EA fixed-income securities since the EA curve is...
The big news story in foreign exchange markets markets at present centres around bonds, more specifically US Treasury Bonds (USTS), which are IOU's from the US government. The 'yield' on the benchmark 10-year UST has risen above the 3.0% mark for th...
[you could] get a situation where you’ve got a disorderly rise in bond yields and a disorderly decline in the dollar because the creditworthiness and the credibility of the US government is called into question. Then they’ll do what the Japanese did, and institute yield curve control and ...
US government bond yields hit their highest levels since July as investors weighed the implications of Donald Trump’s election victory on debt markets. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury was up 0.14 percentage points to 4.43 per cent, its highest level in four months. The yield on ...