资料来源:美国经济分析局,实际国内生产总值,取自圣路易斯联邦储备银行 FRED。 制图 显示 最大值/最小值 放大 相关图表 美国CPI美国耐用品新订单美国季度实际GDP美国年通货膨胀率(%)美国非农总数美国的季度人均实际GDP美国零售贸易数据美国失业率 下载数据
Figure 1:GDP (bold black), April WSJ survey (light blue), GDPNow (4/15) (red square), NY Fed (light green square), St. Louis Fed (blue inverted triangle), IMF April 2024 WEO (chartreuse triangles), all in bn.Ch.2017$ SAAR. Source BEA via FRED, Philadelphia Fed, Atlanta Fed, N...
it is a hypothesis which transcends statistical modelling, assumptions between nominal and real GDP (which are increasingly distorted by interest payments being excluded from GDP), and the application of vector auto-regression modelling. You can prove anything with these incomplete statistics but the...
Wow Gilligan – I noted earlier than when employment is rising strongly but real GDP is not, then by definition productivity, which is defined as real GDP/employment must decline. I guess one can call oneself a consultant without passing 1st grade arithmetic. Then again GDI has been growing u...
Washington-The biggest drop in more than 60 years for the US real gross domestic product should trigger declines this year in domestic energy consumption for all major fuels, the Energy Information Administration said February 10 in its February Short-Term Energy Outlook. The US real GDP is expec...
Feb 01, 2025 2 min read Textiles US real GDP up 2.3% YoY in Q4 2024: BEA advance estimate Feb 01, 2025 1 min read Textiles GDP stable in euro area, up by 0.1% QoQ in EU in Q4 2024: Eurostat Feb 01, 2025 2 min read Interviews...
For full-year 2024, it is expected that the automotive, real estate, and construction sectors will be in the doldrums due to their shrinking income indicators. Regarding the financial sector, household debt remains a major concern. The household debt-to-GDP ratio is projected to stay close to...
He also proposes that 'the basket of currencies forming the basis of the SDR should be expanded to include currencies of all major economies', possibly using 'GDP … as a weight', and that the allocation of SDRs be backed by 'real assets … such as a reserve pool',...
Macroeconomic data, such as GDP and the interest rate, are typically available at a low frequency (monthly or quarterly), while energy prices are at a high frequency. Therefore, to use GARCH models, the frequency of the data needs to be synchronized. This transformation, however, leads to a...
If DC stops printing money (which creates citizen inflation), then Treasury interest rates rise fast (not too many true – non gvt -buyers want to hold low-to-no yielding paper issued by a debtor with debt-to-GDP ratio well above 100%). ...