Figure 1:GDP (bold black), April WSJ survey (light blue), GDPNow (4/15) (red square), NY Fed (light green square), St. Louis Fed (blue inverted triangle), IMF April 2024 WEO (chartreuse triangles), all in bn.Ch.2017$ SAAR. Source BEA via FRED, Philadelphia Fed, Atlanta Fed, N...
On the other hand, the ECB ignored the weak economy and continued to suppress market expectations of interest rate cuts. According to data released on January 15, Germany's GDP fell 0.3% year on year in the fourth quarter of 2023, and contracted 0.3% year on year for the whole year. Me...
A 60% tariff on Chinese exports would have a significant impact on China’s growth, affecting $500 billion in exports: 15% of China’s total exports to the US and around 2.8% of China’s GDP, based on our analysis. The result could be a potential 2.4% growth shock. Howev...
ElectionWatch 2024 06 Nov 2024 Like Equities rally on Trump victory Trump President, Senate Republican, House still uncertain What does a decisive Republican victory mean for emerging markets? Don’t just do something, stand there! Sustainable investing perspecti...
GDP of Ukraine down by 39% Home payments (dwellings, taxes, utilities) up by 702%, or 8 times Heat up by 1130% Gas up by 960% After they squeezed out or killed off all normal people, and after they installed in 2014 this bloodsucker, suddenly Ukraine radicals and Ukro-Nazis woke up...
prediction is a similar, but more general term. Both might refer to formal statistical methods employing time series, cross-sectional or longitudinal data, or alternatively to less formal judgmental methods. Usage can differ between areas of application: for example, in hydrology the terms "USD to...
prediction is a similar, but more general term. Both might refer to formal statistical methods employing time series, cross-sectional or longitudinal data, or alternatively to less formal judgmental methods. Usage can differ between areas of application: for example, in hydrology the terms "JPY to...
preparing for a sharp turn in its stance toward the U.S. should Trump return to the presidency. This may mean providing spearhead support for Ukraine, preparing to engage directly on the battlefield, promoting military spending relative to GDP and pursuing the creation of a consolidated defense ...
In October, the IMF amended the country’s 2024 growth forecast from its earlier April prediction of 4.2% to 5.1%, driven by strong growth in the non-oil sectors. Meanwhile, the International Institute of Finance also projected that the UAE GDP growth will lead the region in 2024 and 2025...
The share of USD-denominated foreign exchange reserves dipped to 59.2%, according to the IMF’s COFER data released on December 31 for Q3 2023. For the past 20 years, the USD’s share has been on a slow downward trend, with other currencies nibbling at it from ...