Since the dollar's risk premia reveal information about the US investors' pricing kernel, the US fiscal cycle further explains the term structure of US equity risk premia, bond risk premia, and cross-border capital flows. These results highlight the US fiscal cycle as the key variable for ...
In contrast, we find that shocks to the level of tariff rates have a rather small impact on the USD exchange rate.2 A highly conceivable explanation for the link between trade policy uncertainty and the dollar appreciation lies in safe-haven flows in response to higher uncertainty. We find ...
Australian Dollar / US Dollar (AUD/USD) (ZB_2373531.): Stock quote, stock chart, quotes, analysis, advice, financials and news for Currency Australian Dollar / US Dollar (AUD/USD) | Autre: | Autre
Even if investors do not demand higher interest rates, given the fact that the US debt has already become the biggest threat to the dollar's status, keeping interest rates high is also a must for the US to safeguard the dollar's status. Needless to say, it is a dangerous gamble, which...
1. As with any natural resource we use the cheapest to extract first and then make our way to lower net energy return sources over time. The EROI of most Renewables is much lower than most oil sources when you look at a full life cycle from mi...
Get the latest US Global Jets ETF (JETS) fund price, news, buy or sell recommendation, and investing advice from Wall Street professionals.
Thus, we have been in an unusual situation where the US economy is motoring along at roughly a 3% growth pace, but the recession probability models have remained very elevated (because they run off the cyclical/interest-sensitive data which normally leads the cycle). However, what is now ...
The dollar strengthened on Tuesday as U.S. economic data showing a generally stable jobs market and a still robust services sector suggested that the Federal Reserve will likely slow the pace of its current rate-cutting cycle. The greenback rose to a near six-month peak against the yen after...
According to a recent report by the Congressional Budget office, extending Trump’s tax cuts would add US$3.5 trn to the deficit through 2033, potentially weighing on the dollar and lifting bond yields.Immigration and Border security: This is an underappreciated risk, and one where Trump can ...
Fed cuts rates but ‘hawkish’ forecast hits stocks and sends dollar jumping US currency hits strongest level in two years after central bank signals only half a percentage point of reductions in 2025 Brazilian economy Brazil currency sell-off piles fiscal reform pressure on Lula ...