“[Post-election] the market will continue its upward trajectory in anticipation of the positive regulatory and legislative developments in the US once the new president takes office next January. This is likely to be the case irrespective of the election outcome; however, as market sentiment favor...
Scientific polling, Edney said, does not preclude the role of prediction markets. Respondents are sometimes loath to reveal their true beliefs, and polls are snapshots in time rather than direct predictions of a future election night. (Boeckmann also noted an infamous conservative pollster who “put...
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The balloon incident comes at a critical moment in US-China relations. Representatives from both countries have met in late 2022 to agree to deepen bilateral relations. They had planned to meet again in January 2023, but the meeting was canceled due to the balloon incident [19]. The increased...
So, this is our final update to themain post from September 20. Please click on the link for a detailed description of the election process and how we model it to make the predictions you see below.Click hereto go back to the daily predictions page. ...
The divergence has sparked a reversal in currency markets, where interest rates are a driving force. The dollar, which had been weakening since the summer, dramatically rallied against peers through the US election as investors anticipated the impact of Trump’s tariff and tax policies. ...
election, the US–China relationship deteriorated dramatically (Xia et al., 2019). The Trump administration has adopted a more hostile attitude towards China, viewing it as a strategic competitor and claiming that its presence has posed a threat to the national security and economic interests of ...
As a candidate for New York governor in the 2022 election, Zeldin criticized the state's decision to join California's Zero Emission Vehicle program that vows to end the sale of gasoline-powered only vehicles by 2035. Trump has said he aims to reverse many rules administered by the EPA on...
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Current betting odds suggest J.D. Vance is the favorite in the 2028 U.S. presidential election, but Gavin Newsom may offer strong betting value.