Both points are correct. I can not prophesize either. I do know the burdening millions of people with an ever-growing debt of interest upon interest, fees, penalties, etc. through capitalization is a drag on the economy. Much of the increases in student loan debt is the result of capitaliz...
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“While governments never have to entirely pay off debt, there are debt levels that investors might perceive as unsustainable,” the St. Louis Fed paper highlights. “A solution some countries with high levels of unsustainable debt have tried is printing money. In this scenario, the gove...
As mentioned in a separate post, the personal debt crisis is effecting everyone – including the “rich” who are also living on credit to maintain their lifestyles. The St. Louis Fed stated that the top 10% of ZIP codes with wealth concentration “experienced the greatest proportional increase...
Nonfinancial corporate businesses continue to have low debt levels.12 Although we have come close to triggering the Sahm rule, unemployment is still at very low levels relative to history. At 4.3%, the US is well below its long-term average unemployment rate of 5.69%.13 Fed rate cuts. ...
Market expectations for Fed rate cuts may be too ambitious Sources: Capital Group, Chicago Mercantile Exchange, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, National Bureau of Economic Research. Upper bound of target range is used since 2008. Actual data and market expectations as of 2...
"I think we're in the middle of a global slowdown, and we're just going to have to assess how this is going to affect the U.S. economy," St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said at the time. AMERICA'S TOP CEOS LOWER ECONOMIC OUTLOOK ON TRADE CONCERNS Concerns about health were ...
High levels of household debt are not necessarily a bad thing. According to a research paper from the St. Louis Fed, it can indicate that people are optimistic about the economy, that they are making investments in assets that build wealth – including education and houses – and that people...
18“10-Year High Quality Market (HQM) Corporate Bond Spot Rate,” St. Louis Fed, July 29, 2022. 19 Ibid. 20 "Making hay with inflation," Deloitte Digital, Deloitte Development LLC, 2021. 21 Ibid. 22“When rising prices break consumers’ trust,” Deloitte Insights, Deloitte...