(y/y) while core CPI inflation eased 0.2ppt to 3.6% y/y – its lowest level since April 2021. We still believe a broad disinflationary trend remains in place and five key elements should bring more disinflation throughout 2024: mildly softer consumer spending growth; slower wage growth; ...
The monthly CPI of urban consumers in the United States increased from 292.3 in May 2022 to 304.13 in 2023. Inflation tends not to impact everyone equally for a variety of reasons, including geography - CPI often differs between regions, with a high of 287.49 in the Western region as of ...
BARCAP: USCPIInflation Preview (May 2024 CPI): Moving sideways (hmm, sideways is NOT, IMO, time to CUT but what the heck, who cares, cuz, you know, BoC and ECB…) We forecast a 0.12% m/m SA rise in headlineCPI, keeping the annual rate at 3.4% y/y. We estimate that core CPI...
连续第三个四月,服务业CPI超出共识和MPC(货币政策委员会)的主要预测,同比达到5.86%(英国央行预期:5.52%,DB预期:5.42%)。 我们现在预计MPC将在8月(之前为6月)开始放宽限制性政策。但夏季降息已不再是板上钉钉的事。风险偏向2024年第三季度较晚时候开始,首次利率调整现在看起来在8月和9月之间更加微妙地平衡。 ...
“The CPI print confirms the market consensus of another 25bps rate cut from the Federal Reserve. We are still closely monitoring the strength of the labor market and potential stickiness of certain components of inflation (shelter, services) heading into 2025.” ...
Overall, we expect CPI inflation to rise once again in the second half of 2025 as tariffs start to take effect. Once the effects of the tariffs move out of the comparison period, inflation begins falling again in 2027. Over the forecast period, we expect CPI inflation to remain above 2%....
This is interesting in that it contrasts with the underlying robust state of theUS economy, which was growing at a solid 2.7% year over year (y/y) pace in Q3 2024 while the unemployment rate remains at a historically low 4.1% as of October. Meanwhile, Consumer Price Index (CPI...
CPI rises more than expected in March A key U.S. inflation metric came in hotter than expected, raising concern that the Federal Reserve may not cut interest rates this year. The consumer price indexrose 0.4% in March from the prior month. Year over year, it gained 3.5%. Economists polle...
Along with a lower-than-expected CPI report earlier this month and a recent trend of lower inflation figures, this should give the Fed the green light to cut rates later this quarter." "All eyes will shift to Chair Powell at next week’s Fed meeting, with the hope and expectation that ...
交易员们目前预计,2025年大部分时间美国消费者价格指数(CPI)年增长率将接近3%。据嘉信理财研究中心的固定收益团队分析,如果特朗普政府的关税政策保持不变,包括对墨西哥和加拿大商品征收25%关税,以及对中国商品征收10%关税,那么美联储最关注的通胀指标——个人消费支出(PCE)物价指数在未来几个月可能会突破3%。