Core US inflation eases to 3.1% YoY, boosting Fed rate-cut expectations. 25% tariffs remain a risk factor; further UK rate cuts could cap Sterling's gains. Traders look toward the US PPI on Thursday and the UK GDP release for direction. The Pound Sterling (GBP) slightly depreciates ...
March core PCE is also projected to grow at an annual pace of 2.6%, while the headline PCE inflation is forecast to tick up to 2.6% (YoY) from 2.5%. The Federal Reserve’s revised Summary of Economic Projections (SEP), also known as the dot plot – published alongside th...
The US headline inflation rate remained unchanged at 3.7% year-on-year (YoY) in September, slightly higher than expected. Core inflation, net of energy and food, fell to 4.1% from 4.3% (YoY), in line with expectations and to the lowest reading in two years (see Chart 1). Chart 1. ...
In depth view into US Core PCE Price Index YoY including historical data from 1960 to 2025, charts and stats.
The US Consumer Price Index is seen rising 2.9% YoY in January. The core CPI inflation should remain sticky well above the Fed’s goal. Investors have so far pencilled in a Fed rate cut in June. The United States (US) Bureau of Labor Statistics will release January’s Consumer...
CPIYoY: 1.7% (August: 1.7%) 消费物价指数的年度同比增速为1.7%; HeadlineCPI: 0.0% m/m (Consensus: 0.1%, previous: 0.1%), corresponding to unchanged headline CPI inflation at 1.7% y/y. 名义消费物价指数:月度环比增速为0.0%,市场预测值为0.1%,前值为0.1%,所对应的年度同比增速保持不变,仍为1.7...
Breaking down the inflation rate Source: Bloomberg I’ve split the YoY inflation rate to five different components for data dating back to January 2021: Shelter (Rent), Commodities (Goods), Food, Energy and Services (excluding rent). We can see that the initial rise in infla...
consumption as a share of GDP is rising again (Q3 24), household financial wealth (to income) is extremely high, unemployment is low, Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) inflation is back at 2.1% (Sep), and US goods prices are falling significantly (seeing deflation at minus 1.2%YoY in...
US CPI inflation – both headline and core – in June was weaker than expected but is unlikely to lead the Federal Reserve to refrain from raising interest rates next week. In this Macro Flash Note, EFG Chief economist Stefan Gerlach looks at the data.
In December alone, sales in core retail sales rose by 0.4% seasonally adjusted from November, showing a year-on-year (YoY) unadjusted upswing of 4.2%. This is notably higher than November’s month-on-month growth of 0.3% and a YoY increase of 3.9%. ...