3. Uncertainty and the Theory of Evidence 信念质量可以被分配给框架的任何子集,包括整个框架本身,它代表了真理可以是任何可能状态的信念,例如,任何类别标签都是均等可能的。换句话说,通过将所有的信仰群分配给整个框架,一个人表达了“我不知道”作为对可能状态[5]的真理的意见。主观逻辑(Subjective Logic, SL)将...
Despite the given definitions are almost widely accepted by the scientific community, the proposed statistical approach to uncertainty expression and estimation is more and more disputed. This paper proposes a more general approach to the expression of uncertainty, based on the theory of evidence, ...
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Despite the prominence of the risk-incentives trade-off in the agency theory, empirical evidence provides at best a mixed result. In this paper, we argue t... YJ Chen - 《Or Spectrum》 被引量: 8发表: 2012年 Incentives in the Asian Context: Theory and Preliminary Evidence Incentive design...
maximum Deng entropy, the pseudo-Pascal triangle of maximum Deng entropy, generalized belief entropy, and measures of divergence.In addition, we conduct an analysis of the application of Deng entropy and further examine the challenges for future studies on uncertainty measurement in evidence theory. ...
Menu-dependent risk attitudes: Theory and evidence 菜单依赖的风险态度：理论与证据 作者 Zhuo Chen（山东大学）, Russell Golman（卡内基梅隆大学），Jason Somerville（纽约联邦储备银行）摘要：We test for a novel pattern of menu-dependent risk attitudes that forms the basis of recent theories of risky ...
Dempster–Shafer Theory of Evidence (DST), as an alternative or complementary approach to the representation of uncertainty, is gradually being explored with complex practical applications beyond purely algebraic examples. This paper reviews literature documenting such complex applications and studies its app...
Uncertainty measure in evidence theory supplies a new criterion to assess the quality and quantity of knowledge conveyed by belief structures. As generalizations of uncertainty measure in the probabilistic framework, several uncertainty measures for belief structures have been developed. Among them, aggregat...
Political uncertainty and investment: Causal evidence from U.S. gubernatorial elections, Journal of Financial Economics, 2017, 124(3): 563-579. 本文通过美国州长选举来研究政治不确定性与企业投融资行为之间的影响关系。 在美国,政治不确定性是否对经济活动产生影响是一个备受争议的话题。实务中存在不少公司投...