Second, the determination of fragility is not especially predictive. If the largely unexpected collapse of the Soviet Union was a wake-up call for prognosticators about the need to develop analytical tools for anticipating state failure, then the startling advent of the Arab Spring some 20 years ...
That’s the history. Today it’s different. The Soviet Union is no more. Mainland China is wealthy enough to offer some trade possibilities (although last time I looked Taiwan is a more important and valuable trading partner than the mainland), and contributes to US political campaigns. Most ...
what possessed two guys in the middle east to sit down and figure out what the mind was doing when it tried to judge a baseball player, or an investment, or a presidential candidate? and how on earth does a psychologist win a nobel prize in economics? tversky in 1970. courtesy of ...
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