538's Galen Druke breaks down the latest polls looking at the 2024 presidential race. September 23, 2024 Additional Live Streams Additional Live Streams Live ABC News Live Live Rain returns to southern California this weekend, decreasing the fire risk but increasing the risk for mudslides in burn...
5:00 Trump leads in swing-state polls and is tied with Biden nationally How 538's new 2024 presidential general election polling averages work.It's the moment you've all been waiting for: Today, 538 launched our interactive polling averages for the 2024 presidential general election. They ...
"The average swing-state poll published since July 6 has Trump leading Biden by 1 point, compared to his 2.2-point lead in national polls today," the post added. The latest poll represents the worst result for Trump since May 20, according to FiveThirtyEight's prediction model. Al...
Harris was backed by 48% of voters to Trump’s 47% across all swing states. The vice president is ahead in four battleground states, while Trump leads in two. It’s a significant improvement for Democrats, who weredownan average of 2 points in swing states prior to President J...
Harris 24.8% Average of 5 Polls* Last Poll: Nov. 4 All California Polls Florida(30) Trump 6.2% Average of 8 Polls* Last Poll: Nov. 4 All Florida Polls Georgia(16) Trump 1.2% Average of 15 Polls* Last Poll: Nov. 4 All Georgia Polls ...
He said that “there’s about a 40 percent chance” that either Harris or Trump will win all seven swing states. Silver said that as of Sunday morning, Harris had a 56 percent chance of winning the Electoral College while Trump had a 44...
Kamala Harris leads Donald Trump in national polls, but the race remains tight in critical swing states as the 2024 US presidential election approaches.
Video Live Shows 538 Shop Stream onTrump leads in swing-state polls and is tied with Biden nationally How 538's new 2024 presidential general election polling averages work. April 24, 2024 Additional Live Streams Live ABC News Live Live Dangerously cold weather takes over much of country ...
Trump. The direction of polling error isimpossible to predict in advance, and polls have overestimated Republicans plenty of times in the past. In a scenario where the polls overestimate Trump's margin by 4 points in every state, Harris would win all seven swing states and319 electoral...
. He almost never led in any polls during the 2020 election cycle, yet he still came within a few thousand votes of pulling off a second narrow Electoral College victory. In contrast, he now leads in nearly every national poll. He also leads or ties Biden in every ...