risk-modelling procedures.The developed risk models successfully identified the spatial extent and levels of risk that match with actual extent and levels within an acceptable limit of deviation.The result showed that cyclone risk areas increased with the increase of return period.The study also ...
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The at-risk threshold depends on the vulnerability of ecoregions as defined by the tropical cyclone activity in 1980–2017 (Fig.1and Extended Data Figs.1and5). Those ecoregions for which the frequency increases from below 1 in 250 years to above this threshold are labelled as newly affected...
根据原文最后一段" It is Kossin's hope that a model demonstrating which communities are likely to be at the highest risk could be developed by scientists.科辛希望科学家们能开发出一个模型来证明哪些社区可能处于最高风险。"可知这篇文章会出现在报纸的科学版面。 故选B. 本文主要介绍了科学家科辛研究...
risk assessmentAccurate risk assessment is essential to help allocate the resource for disaster relief and make the evacuation decision when hit by a Tropical Cyclone (TC). The integrated analysis of the hazard-bearing body and the intrinsic characteristics of TCs are promising to provide a clear ...
(2012). Global trends in tropical cyclone risk. Nature Climate Change, 2(4), 289-294.Peduzzi, P., B. Chatenoux, H. Dao, A. De Bono, C. Herold, J. Kossin, F. Mouton, and O. Nordbeck, 2012: Global trends in tropical cyclone risk. Nat. Climate Change, 2, 289-294, doi:...
There are simple conceptual models of tropical cyclone intensification and potential intensity. However, such a framework has been lacking to describe the evolution of the outer circulation. An analytic growth model of the tropical cyclone outer size is derived from the angular momentum equation. The...
Despite the projected reduction in the frequency of tropical cyclones, projected increases in both demographic pressure and tropical cyclone intensity over the next 20 years can be expected to greatly increase the number of people exposed per year and exacerbate disaster risk, despite potential ...
We offer long-range forecasts of hurricane, typhoon and tropical cyclone activity in the Atlantic, NW Pacific, SW Pacific and Indian Ocean basins.
Ahead of the formal season starting, people are urged to prepare for the effects of a tropical cyclone by politicians and weather forecasters, among others. They prepare by determining their risk to the different types of weather, tropical cyclones cause, checking their insurance coverage and emerg...