And I am not just talking about August 2023. We are in a very active era here in New Jersey, for tornadoes in particular. According to the excellentTornadoes in New Jersey: 1950 to Presentweb site by the NJ State Climate Office, 2023 is now tied with 2021 as the state's second most ...
In general, this is a high-dimensional problem that offers interesting opportunities since the trends and climate responses have local (state-level) as well as regional (alley-level) effects. A hierarchical Bayesian model with partial pooling was an excellent fit to seamlessly capture these at-stat...
However, historically, the models have underbaked frequency-type losses from US SCS, with actual losses reported by cedants "almost always” over-topping the modelled EL, Strasser said. This year’s higher-than-average tornado activity and the subsequent mark-downs ha...
2013 was a dry year for every state west of the Mississippi River as each experienced some level of drought and heat wave conditions. The drought began in the Midwest and Plains states and spread to Western states in March. By September,more than 50% of the contiguous United Stateswa...
(_state.contexts):]] if len(new_contexts) > 1: with contextlib.nested(*new_contexts): callback(*args, **kwargs) elif new_contexts: with new_contexts[0]: callback(*args, **kwargs) else: callback(*args, **kwargs) if getattr(fn, 'stack_context_wrapped', False): return fn ...
of 10 December 2021 (which produced the Mayfield, KY multi-state tornado), which ranked eighth with our intensity index approach, owing to the large AFM attached to the individual multi-state tornado. Though analyzing individual outbreaks is instructive to ensure the intensity index categorizes TO...
Another innovation is a moveable tornado simulator (Iowa State University, ISU) built by Hannin in 2008 [23]. This apparatus featured an axial downward velocity in the inflow region, inspired by observations of rear-flank downdrafts (RFDs) surrounding regions of intensified low-level vorticity in...